Birmingham City vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Birmingham City played Watford in Championship (England). The match was played on 1 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Birmingham City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Watford: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Birmingham City scores 1.47 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Watford scores 1.35 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Birmingham City 47%, Watford 71%. Over 2.5: Birmingham City 47%, Watford 53%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Watford has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.47. Birmingham City: 13.8 shots per match, Watford: 14.2.

Match halves

Birmingham City: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82. Watford: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Birmingham City: 76-90+ (7 goals). Watford: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
Birmingham CityWatford
13Shots12
Birmingham CityWatford
5Shots on target4
Birmingham CityWatford
1.53xG1.3
Birmingham CityWatford
6Corners6
Birmingham CityWatford
50Dangerous attacks36
Birmingham CityWatford
11Fouls10
Birmingham CityWatford
3Cards2
Birmingham CityWatford

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Birmingham CityWatford
1.47Goals scored / match1.35
Birmingham CityWatford
1.12Goals conceded / match1.24
Birmingham CityWatford
56%Average possession52%
Birmingham CityWatford
3.71Shots on target / match4.76
Birmingham CityWatford

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.76Shots per match14.18
Birmingham CityWatford
3.71Shots on target4.76
Birmingham CityWatford
10.7%Shot conversion9.5%
Birmingham CityWatford
56%Possession52%
Birmingham CityWatford
1.47xG for1.52
Birmingham CityWatford
1.07xG against1.42
Birmingham CityWatford

Shooting quality

Birmingham City: BalancedWatford: Attacking
Birmingham CityWatford
Accuracy (shots on target)27%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Birmingham City is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.8 pts / match - Watford

Birmingham City
WWLWD
Season result split
41% W24% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-6
1.47 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Watford
WDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
35% W35% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-5
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Birmingham City is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.35 goals / match - Watford

Birmingham City is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.12 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.24 goals / match - Watford

Birmingham City scoring profile: very strong

Birmingham City scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).

Watford scoring profile: very strong

Watford scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

25Goals scored (season)23
Birmingham CityWatford
19Goals conceded (season)21
Birmingham CityWatford
2.59Average goals in match2.59
Birmingham CityWatford
14Goals scored (last 5)9
Birmingham CityWatford
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Birmingham CityWatford

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal76%
Birmingham CityWatford
35%2 goals47%
Birmingham CityWatford
18%3 goals12%
Birmingham CityWatford
18%4 goals0%
Birmingham CityWatford

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal94%
Birmingham CityWatford
29%2 goals24%
Birmingham CityWatford
12%3 goals6%
Birmingham CityWatford
0%4 goals0%
Birmingham CityWatford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time35%
Birmingham CityWatford
12%BTTS in both halves0%
Birmingham CityWatford
29%Scored in both halves12%
Birmingham CityWatford

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
Birmingham CityWatford
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Birmingham CityWatford
60%BTTS - last 580%
Birmingham CityWatford

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Birmingham CityWatford
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
Birmingham CityWatford
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Birmingham CityWatford

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
Birmingham CityWatford
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
Birmingham CityWatford
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Birmingham CityWatford

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Birmingham City - half-time state
29% leading24% draw47% trailing
Watford - half-time state
24% leading41% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.12Points per match (1st half)1.12
Birmingham CityWatford
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.65
Birmingham CityWatford
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
Birmingham CityWatford
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.47
Birmingham CityWatford
41%Clean sheet before half-time29%
Birmingham CityWatford
53%No goal before half-time53%
Birmingham CityWatford

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)1.59
Birmingham CityWatford
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Birmingham CityWatford
0.41Goals conceded (2nd half)0.41
Birmingham CityWatford
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.12
Birmingham CityWatford
65%Clean sheet after half-time59%
Birmingham CityWatford
41%No goal after half-time59%
Birmingham CityWatford

Birmingham City - second-half results

41% W47% D12% L
19
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding141%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Watford - second-half results

41% W35% D24% L
19
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Birmingham City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.60
Goals scored / match1.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match2.21.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+7
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Watford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%40%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Birmingham City
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
5
31-45
5
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Watford
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
3
4
16-30
6
4
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
0
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.59
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Birmingham City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Birmingham CityLigaWatford
Average goals in match 2.592.62 2.59
Both teams scored 47%58% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%51% 53%
Clean sheets 29%24% 6%
Goal before half-time 82%74% 82%
Goal after half-time 71%76% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. WatfordYellow cardHector Kyprianou
  2. Birmingham CityYellow cardThomas Doyle
  3. Birmingham CityGoalSeung-Ho Paik
  4. Birmingham CityGoalDemarai Ramelle GrayAssist: Jay Stansfield
  5. WatfordSubstitutionOn: Giorgi ChakvetadzeOff: Thomas Ince
  6. WatfordGoalOthmane MaammaAssist: Marc Bola
  7. Birmingham CitySubstitutionOn: Keshi AndersonOff: Demarai Ramelle Gray
  8. WatfordYellow cardImran Louza
  9. Birmingham CityYellow cardJay Stansfield
  10. Birmingham CityYellow cardPatrick Roberts
  11. WatfordSubstitutionOn: Moussa SissokoOff: Othmane Maamma

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Adam HerczegMatches officiated: 22
3.86Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 241%Home wins18%Draws41%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Birmingham City vs Watford?

The Championship match finished Birmingham City 2:1 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Watford?

Birmingham City score 1.47 goals per game on average and Watford 1.35. The Championship average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Birmingham City's matches and 71% of Watford's.

What form are Birmingham City and Watford in?

Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Watford 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Watford?

The statistical background for Birmingham City vs Watford — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.