Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery: match statistics

Charleston Battery sit 4th, while Birmingham Legion are 22nd. Over their last five matches, the visitors have recorded 3 wins and conceded just 5 goals, compared with 1 win and 11 goals conceded by the hosts. Charleston’s superiority over the course of the season is clear: they have scored 47 goals and conceded 29, while Birmingham’s record stands at 26:32. However, the match could be closely contested due to Battery’s poor away form, with defeats in 58% of their away matches, an average of 1.67 goals conceded, and no goals scored in 42% of their away appearances. Legion draw as many as 45% of their home matches, and their average xG is 1.51, slightly higher than Charleston’s 1.24 away from home. The hosts should therefore create enough chances to exploit the visitors’ defensive instability, but Charleston’s better current form limits Legion’s chances of securing a win.

BTTS - Yes is primarily supported by Birmingham Legion’s current defensive form, having conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches—an average of 2.2 per game—with a very high conceded xG of 2.48. Over the same period, Charleston Battery averaged 2.0 goals scored and generated 1.51 xG, giving them a solid foundation to exploit the hosts’ defensive weakness. Birmingham are also highly dangerous going forward: their season data shows an average of 3.0 goals scored, 1.98 xG created, and 7.45 shots on target per match, while Charleston concede an average of 1.67 goals. BTTS landed in 80% of Birmingham’s last five matches, and their average goals conceded is notably higher than Charleston’s recent figure of 1.0 goal conceded per game. The risk to the Yes outcome is Charleston’s low season BTTS rate of 33%, along with the fact that they have failed to score in 42% of their matches. However, the visitors’ current attacking form shifts the prediction toward both teams scoring.

Birmingham has developed a very strong attacking profile at home: it averages 3.00 goals scored, generates an xG of 1.98, and records 7.45 shots on target per match. Charleston concedes an average of 1.67 goals away from home, while its average xG conceded stands at 1.49, which supports the expectation of at least two goals for the hosts. In their last five matches, Birmingham scored 9 goals but also conceded 11, while Charleston netted 10 goals during the same period. The 1.5 line was surpassed in 100% of Birmingham’s matches and 75% of Charleston’s, making Over 1.5 goals the market with by far the strongest statistical backing. The higher 2.5 line also appears positive, but Charleston’s greater volatility and just 50% of such matches on its side reduce its level of confidence.

Birmingham Legion has a very strong home-season profile: they win 73% of their matches, score an average of 3.00 goals, and concede just 0.82. The hosts led at the break in 8 of 11 home matches (73%), scoring 1.45 goals per game before half-time, while Charleston averages only 0.50 goals in this period away from home. Birmingham’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created: their average xG is 1.98 compared with 1.24 for the visitors, while shots on target stand at 7.45 versus 3.42. After the break, the hosts add an average of 1.55 goals, whereas Charleston concedes 1.17, favouring the maintenance or extension of an early lead. Charleston has collected more points across the last five matches, with a 60% win rate compared with Birmingham’s 20%, so the draw-at-half-time and either-side-to-win scenarios remain significantly elevated; however, the overall home profile still points most strongly to 1/1.