Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven: match statistics
Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Birmingham Legion played Indy Eleven in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Birmingham Legion: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Indy Eleven: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Birmingham Legion scores 1.00 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Indy Eleven scores 1.60 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Birmingham Legion 40%, Indy Eleven 80%. Over 2.5: Birmingham Legion 40%, Indy Eleven 60%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Indy Eleven has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.15. Birmingham Legion: 10.8 shots per match, Indy Eleven: 13.8.
Match halves
Birmingham Legion: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20. Indy Eleven: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Birmingham Legion: 16-30 (4 goals). Indy Eleven: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-4. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Birmingham boasts a very solid home defense — 67% of home matches with clean sheets and an average of only 0.33 goals conceded per game, while Indy Eleven concedes 1.5 goals on average away and has yet to keep an away clean sheet (0%). However, the hosts are practically toothless in attack: only 0.33 goals on average at home (5 home goals this season) and 67% of home matches without scoring, whereas Indy averages 1.0 goals away and has an xG of 1.62 versus the hosts' 1.11. Indy creates more chances (on average 14 shots and 4 on target away versus 11 shots and 2 on target for the hosts) and has a higher shot conversion (~7% vs 3%), giving the visitors an offensive edge. In the last 5 matches Indy scored 9 goals and averages 1.6 points per game, while Birmingham has 5 goals and 1.0 point per game, confirming the visitors are more active in attack. Overall I expect a low-scoring game (likely 0:0 or 1:1), so a draw appears most probable.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data strongly favor BTTS: Birmingham has a seasonal BTTS of 100% versus Indy’s 50% and the league average of 50%, indicating the home side records matches with both teams scoring far more frequently. In the last 5 matches Indy has BTTS 100% and scored 9 goals (1.8 per match), while Birmingham has 40% BTTS and 5 goals in 5 matches (1.0 per match), so Indy has been scoring consistently recently. Both teams’ xG are similar: Birmingham xG for 1.66 vs Indy 1.62, and xG against 1.7 for Birmingham and 1.42 for Indy, which shows both sides create around 1.6 xG and are vulnerable to conceding. Hosts average 6.33 shots on target with a 15% conversion versus 4.0 shots on target and 7% conversion for the visitors, increasing the likelihood of chances being converted and goals from both sides. Since both teams have 0% clean sheets this season and the league average is 2.56 goals, I assess BTTS at 75% vs 25% and recommend the “BTTS - Yes” bet as the stronger signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining offensive xG and defensive xG yields expected xG: Birmingham 1.54 and Indy 1.66, totaling 3.20 goals. With this combined mean of 3.20, a Poisson distribution suggests ~83% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~62% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~40% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Offensive details confirm this: Birmingham averages 13.67 shots and 6.33 on target with a 15% conversion, while Indy averages 14.0 shots and 4.0 on target with a 7% conversion, supporting Birmingham’s shooting superiority despite similar xG. Season metrics show Birmingham has 67% of matches Over 2.5, Indy 50%; both teams have 100% of matches Over 0.5, and BTTS is 100% for Birmingham and 50% for Indy, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (83%), therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the safest line; Over 2.5 (62%) is a riskier but still plausible option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Birmingham led at the break in 3 of 3 matches (100%), averaging 1.0 goals before halftime and conceding none, while Indy Eleven average 0.0 goals by halftime and did not lead at the interval in any match. Over the season Birmingham averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, collects 2.33 points per game and wins 67% of fixtures; Indy average 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded and only 0.5 points per game with a 0% win rate, so the home-side advantage is pronounced. Birmingham register on average 6.33 shots on target and 13.67 shots per match versus the visitors’ 4.0 on target and 14.0 overall, and with a conversion rate of 15% versus 7% the hosts convert chances more frequently; xG for both teams is similar (1.66 vs 1.62). It should be noted, however, that Birmingham’s home matches have featured goals for both teams in 100% of cases, and the hosts concede an average of 1.0 goal in the second half, which introduces some risk of a turnaround after the break. Therefore I project the highest probability for HT=1 and FT=1 (type 1/1) at 62%, with 18% for 1/X and 8% for 1/2; the remaining combinations total 12% due to Indy Eleven’s very low rates of leading at halftime.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Birmingham Legion | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Indy Eleven is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Birmingham Legion · 1.6 pts / match - Indy Eleven
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Indy Eleven is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Birmingham Legion · 1.6 goals / match - Indy Eleven
Birmingham Legion scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Indy Eleven keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Indy Eleven scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Birmingham Legion keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Birmingham Legion
Over / Under - Indy Eleven
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Birmingham Legion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Indy Eleven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 40%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Birmingham Legion
Indy Eleven
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Birmingham Legion | Liga | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 51% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 49% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 31% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Birmingham Legion 0 - 0 - 4 Indy Eleven. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?
The USL Championship match finished Birmingham Legion 2:2 Indy Eleven. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham Legion and Indy Eleven?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Birmingham Legion won 0, Indy Eleven won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?
Birmingham Legion score 1.00 goals per game on average and Indy Eleven 1.60. The USL Championship average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Birmingham Legion's matches and 80% of Indy Eleven's.
What form are Birmingham Legion and Indy Eleven in?
Over the last 5 games Birmingham Legion have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Indy Eleven 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.