United States - USL ChampionshipBBVA Compass FieldData current as of 17 October 2026

Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Birmingham Legion play Loudoun United in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: BBVA Compass Field.

Current form

Birmingham Legion: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Loudoun United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Birmingham Legion scores 1.37 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Loudoun United scores 1.21 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.70 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Birmingham Legion 63%, Loudoun United 57%. Over 2.5: Birmingham Legion 56%, Loudoun United 46%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Loudoun United has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.46. Birmingham Legion: 12.6 shots per match, Loudoun United: 13.1.

Match halves

Birmingham Legion: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67. Loudoun United: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

Birmingham Legion: 76-90+ (11 goals). Loudoun United: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 83%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.04)
(3.72)
(2.88)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
1.37Goals scored / match1.21
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
1.59Goals conceded / match1.61
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
50%Average possession51%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
3.96Shots on target / match4.11
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.56Shots per match13.11
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
3.96Shots on target4.11
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
10.9%Shot conversion9.3%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
50%Possession51%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
1.46xG for1.52
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
1.78xG against1.71
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United

Shooting quality

Birmingham Legion: BalancedLoudoun United: Balanced
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
Accuracy (shots on target)32%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Birmingham Legion
DLWLW
Season result split
19% W41% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-11-11
0.96 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-7-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Loudoun United
LWDWL
Season result split
18% W43% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-12-11
0.96 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-7
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Birmingham Legion is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

1.37 goals / match - Birmingham Legion · 1.21 goals / match - Loudoun United

Birmingham Legion scoring profile: very strong

Birmingham Legion scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Loudoun United keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).

Loudoun United scoring profile: very strong

Loudoun United scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Birmingham Legion keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).

37Goals scored (season)34
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
43Goals conceded (season)45
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
2.96Average goals in match2.82
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
9Goals scored (last 5)8
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal71%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
41%2 goals32%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
11%3 goals11%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
7%4 goals7%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal68%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
52%2 goals43%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
22%3 goals29%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
7%4 goals18%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
Birmingham Legion - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 27 matches
54%
League average

Goal patterns

37%BTTS at half-time29%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
15%BTTS in both halves18%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
26%Scored in both halves25%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
20%BTTS - last 560%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Birmingham Legion is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.26 pts / match - Birmingham Legion · 0.75 pts / match - Loudoun United

Birmingham Legion - half-time state
22% leading59% draw19% trailing
Loudoun United - half-time state
7% leading54% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.26Points per match (1st half)0.75
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.39
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
1.37Average goals (1st half)1.21
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
48%Clean sheet before half-time39%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
41%No goal before half-time64%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United

After half-time (2nd half)

0.96Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
0.93Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
1.59Average goals (2nd half)1.61
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
41%Clean sheet after half-time54%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
56%No goal after half-time39%
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United

Birmingham Legion - second-half results

19% W41% D41% L
34
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Loudoun United - second-half results

25% W46% D29% L
21
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding257%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Birmingham Legion - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Loudoun United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.20
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.0
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Birmingham Legion
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
7
7
16-30
7
7
31-45
5
7
46-60
2
6
61-75
11
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Loudoun United
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
3
10
16-30
4
6
31-45
8
6
46-60
6
5
61-75
9
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.89
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Birmingham Legion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Loudoun United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Birmingham LegionLigaLoudoun United
Average goals in match▲ 2.962.70▲ 2.82
Both teams scored▲ 63%54%▲ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 56%49%▼ 46%
Clean sheets▼ 22%28%▲ 32%
Goal before half-time▲ 74%66%▲ 68%
Goal after half-time▼ 74%77%▼ 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Birmingham Legion 2 - 2 - 2 Loudoun United. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 83% matches.

Birmingham Legion
1 : 1
Loudoun United
Loudoun United
2 : 2
Birmingham Legion
Loudoun United FC
0 : 1
Birmingham Legion FC
Birmingham Legion FC
1 : 3
Loudoun United FC
Loudoun United
4 : 2
Birmingham Legion
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1
Loudoun United

FAQ

When do Birmingham Legion and Loudoun United play?

Birmingham Legion face Loudoun United on 18 October 2026 in USL Championship at BBVA Compass Field. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham Legion and Loudoun United?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Birmingham Legion won 2, Loudoun United won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?

Birmingham Legion score 1.37 goals per game on average and Loudoun United 1.21. The USL Championship average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Birmingham Legion's matches and 57% of Loudoun United's.

What form are Birmingham Legion and Loudoun United in?

Over the last 5 games Birmingham Legion have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Loudoun United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?

The statistical background for Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.