Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City: match statistics
Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Birmingham Legion play Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 4 June 2026 at 02:00. Venue: BBVA Compass Field. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Birmingham Legion: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Birmingham Legion scores 1.07 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Louisville City scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Birmingham Legion 67%, Louisville City 56%. Over 2.5: Birmingham Legion 40%, Louisville City 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Louisville City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.40. Birmingham Legion: 12.7 shots per match, Louisville City: 16.5.
Match halves
Birmingham Legion: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.47. Louisville City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Birmingham Legion: 16-30 (5 goals). Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 0-1-3. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 75%.
Match description
I predict an away win (2). Louisville City holds a clear offensive advantage: the visitors average 2.0 goals per away match with away xG of 1.89, while Birmingham score just 0.6 goals per home match with xG 1.4. Louisville averages 15.4 shots per game with 5 on target and a shot conversion rate of 13%, whereas the hosts average 13.2 shots with 3 on target and a 5% conversion, translating into a higher probability for the visitors to convert chances. Although Birmingham have a solid home defense—only 0.6 goals conceded per game and 60% clean sheets at home—the hosts fail to score in 60% of their home matches, while Louisville have 0% away matches without a goal, so the visitors rarely finish without scoring. In the last 5 matches Louisville have scored 9 and conceded 11, and Birmingham have scored 4 and conceded 4, suggesting the game could be open but the quality of chances favors the visitors. Given the higher away xG for Louisville (1.89 vs 1.11 xG against Birmingham) and better shot efficiency, I assess the probabilities as: Birmingham 15%, draw 30%, Louisville 55%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Birmingham Legion | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Louisville City is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Birmingham Legion · 1.6 pts / match - Louisville City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Louisville City is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Birmingham Legion · 1.63 goals / match - Louisville City
Birmingham Legion is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Birmingham Legion · 1.56 goals / match - Louisville City
Birmingham Legion scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Louisville City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Birmingham Legion keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Birmingham Legion
Over / Under — Louisville City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Birmingham Legion is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Birmingham Legion · 0.88 pts / match - Louisville City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Birmingham Legion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Birmingham Legion
Louisville City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Birmingham Legion | Liga | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Birmingham Legion 0 - 1 - 3 Louisville City. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City?
The USL Championship match finished Birmingham Legion 1:1 Louisville City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham Legion and Louisville City?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Birmingham Legion won 0, Louisville City won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City?
Birmingham Legion score 1.07 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.63. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Birmingham Legion's matches and 56% of Louisville City's.
What form are Birmingham Legion and Louisville City in?
Over the last 5 games Birmingham Legion have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Louisville City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City?
The statistical background for Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.