Malta - Maltese Premier LeagueMFA Centenary StadiumData current as of 05 November 2026

Birzebbuga vs Mosta: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Birzebbuga vs Mosta: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Birzebbuga play Mosta in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match date is 6 November 2026. Venue: MFA Centenary Stadium.

Current form

Birzebbuga: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Mosta: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Birzebbuga scores 0.82 and concedes 1.91 goals per match. Mosta scores 1.36 and concedes 1.82. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Birzebbuga 36%, Mosta 64%. Over 2.5: Birzebbuga 64%, Mosta 55%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Mosta has higher xG: 1.03 vs 1.01. Birzebbuga: 7.2 shots per match, Mosta: 7.3.

Match halves

Birzebbuga: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.55. Mosta: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

Birzebbuga: 46-60 (3 goals). Mosta: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Maltese Premier League: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.82Goals scored / match1.36
BirzebbugaMosta
1.91Goals conceded / match1.82
BirzebbugaMosta
49%Average possession50%
BirzebbugaMosta
2.09Shots on target / match3.36
BirzebbugaMosta

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.18Shots per match7.27
BirzebbugaMosta
2.09Shots on target3.36
BirzebbugaMosta
11.4%Shot conversion18.8%
BirzebbugaMosta
49%Possession50%
BirzebbugaMosta
1.01xG for1.03
BirzebbugaMosta
1.23xG against1.39
BirzebbugaMosta

Shooting quality

Birzebbuga: BalancedMosta: Efficient finishing
BirzebbugaMosta
Accuracy (shots on target)29%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Birzebbuga is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Birzebbuga · 0.6 pts / match - Mosta

Birzebbuga
DLWDD
Season result split
9% W27% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-7
0.55 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Mosta
DDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
27% W45% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-3
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-1
Last 5 away
1-3-1
WDDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mosta is 66% better for: goals scored per match.

0.82 goals / match - Birzebbuga · 1.36 goals / match - Mosta

Mosta is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.91 goals / match - Birzebbuga · 1.82 goals / match - Mosta

Birzebbuga scoring profile: strong

Birzebbuga scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while Mosta keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

Mosta scoring profile: very strong

Mosta scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Birzebbuga keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).

9Goals scored (season)15
BirzebbugaMosta
21Goals conceded (season)20
BirzebbugaMosta
2.73Average goals in match3.18
BirzebbugaMosta
8Goals scored (last 5)6
BirzebbugaMosta
7Goals conceded (last 5)13
BirzebbugaMosta

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal82%
BirzebbugaMosta
36%2 goals45%
BirzebbugaMosta
0%3 goals9%
BirzebbugaMosta
0%4 goals0%
BirzebbugaMosta

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal82%
BirzebbugaMosta
73%2 goals55%
BirzebbugaMosta
27%3 goals27%
BirzebbugaMosta
0%4 goals9%
BirzebbugaMosta

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time18%
BirzebbugaMosta
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BirzebbugaMosta
9%Scored in both halves27%
BirzebbugaMosta

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
BirzebbugaMosta
27%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
BirzebbugaMosta
60%BTTS - last 560%
BirzebbugaMosta

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time91%
BirzebbugaMosta
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
BirzebbugaMosta
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
BirzebbugaMosta

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
BirzebbugaMosta
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
BirzebbugaMosta
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
BirzebbugaMosta

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mosta is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.82 pts / match - Birzebbuga · 1.27 pts / match - Mosta

Birzebbuga - half-time state
18% leading27% draw55% trailing
Mosta - half-time state
36% leading18% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.82Points per match (1st half)1.27
BirzebbugaMosta
0.27Goals scored (1st half)0.64
BirzebbugaMosta
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
BirzebbugaMosta
1Average goals (1st half)1.45
BirzebbugaMosta
36%Clean sheet before half-time45%
BirzebbugaMosta
82%No goal before half-time45%
BirzebbugaMosta

After half-time (2nd half)

0.64Points per match (2nd half)1.18
BirzebbugaMosta
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
BirzebbugaMosta
1.18Goals conceded (2nd half)1
BirzebbugaMosta
1.73Average goals (2nd half)1.73
BirzebbugaMosta
9%Clean sheet after half-time36%
BirzebbugaMosta
64%No goal after half-time45%
BirzebbugaMosta

Birzebbuga - second-half results

18% W9% D73% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mosta - second-half results

27% W36% D36% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Birzebbuga - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Mosta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.6
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Birzebbuga
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
3
7
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Mosta
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
5
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
0
5
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.96
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Birzebbuga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.87
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Mosta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).

Teams vs league

BirzebbugaLigaMosta
Average goals in match▼ 2.732.85▲ 3.18
Both teams scored▼ 36%59%▲ 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%55%• 55%
Clean sheets▼ 9%22%▼ 18%
Goal before half-time▼ 73%79%▲ 91%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%86%▼ 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
1.50
Away goals / match
+-10%
Home attack advantage
+-11%
Home defence advantage
+-4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Birzebbuga 0 - 1 - 0 Mosta. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Birzebbuga and Mosta play?

Birzebbuga face Mosta on 6 November 2026 in Maltese Premier League at MFA Centenary Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Birzebbuga vs Mosta?

Birzebbuga score 0.82 goals per game on average and Mosta 1.36. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Birzebbuga's matches and 64% of Mosta's.

What form are Birzebbuga and Mosta in?

Over the last 5 games Birzebbuga have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mosta 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birzebbuga vs Mosta?

The statistical background for Birzebbuga vs Mosta — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.