BKMA vs Shirak: match statistics
BKMA vs Shirak: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
BKMA played Shirak in Armenian Premier League (Armenia). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
BKMA: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Shirak: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
BKMA scores 1.11 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Shirak scores 0.72 and concedes 1.89. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: BKMA 58%, Shirak 39%. Over 2.5: BKMA 58%, Shirak 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
BKMA has higher xG: 1.23 vs 0.95. BKMA: 10.9 shots per match, Shirak: 7.7.
Match halves
BKMA: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63. Shirak: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
BKMA: 61-75 (6 goals). Shirak: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Armenian Premier League: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
BKMA has a clear home advantage: on average 1.1 goals per game with xG 1.28 and 11.3 shots (3.4 on target), while Shirak score only 0.56 goals away with xG 0.92 and 7.44 shots (2.67 on target). Defensively the hosts concede 1.2 goals per home game with average xG against 1.55, whereas the visitors allow 2.44 goals conceded away and xG against 2.24, indicating greater susceptibility of Shirak to conceding. Form corroborates this gap: BKMA have won 1 of their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 points per game in that period, while Shirak have lost all 5, with 0 points and 0 goals scored in their last five. Additionally BKMA have higher shot efficiency (conversion rate 10% vs 7%) and less frequently finish matches goalless (40% of matches vs 56% for Shirak), therefore I favor the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back No BTTS because Shirak have failed to score in their last 5 matches (0 goals) and have a 0% BTTS rate in those five games, which is the strongest signal against BTTS. Shirak average 0.56 goals scored and concede 2.44 per game this season, with a season xG of 0.92; in the last 5 matches their xG dropped to 0.8 and was not converted into goals. BKMA at home score on average 0.89 goals per game, have a season BTTS rate of 33% (below the league 46%) and have scored 4 and conceded 11 in their last 5 matches, indicating poor home attacking effectiveness. Although Shirak’s season BTTS rate is 44% versus the league 46%, Shirak’s zero goal output in five matches and the visitors’ low shot conversion (7%) greatly reduce the likelihood of BTTS. Based on this I estimate BTTS - Yes at ~20% and No BTTS at ~80%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project approximately 2.70 total goals in this match: BKMA ~1.48 and Shirak ~1.22. The basis is xG values: BKMA has xG_for 0.98 versus Shirak’s xG_against 2.24 (average 1.61), but BKMA’s actual scoring rate this season is only 0.89 goals and 0.8 in the last 5 matches, which adjusts the home estimate down to ~1.48. Shirak has xG_for 0.92 and the home xG_against 1.65 (average 1.29), however a low conversion rate of 7% and zero goals scored in the last 5 matches (0.0) reduce the away expectation to ~1.22. Seasonally Over 1.5 occurs in 44% of home matches and 89% of away matches, and the league average is 2.54 goals per game; additionally BKMA concedes 1.33 goals and Shirak 2.44, so I assign a strong probability to Over 1.5 (78%). I rate Over 2.5 as moderately likely (55%) given season Over 2.5: BKMA 33% vs Shirak 67% and last5 both at 40%, while Over 3.5 remains unlikely (28%) in line with seasonal 22–33% for that line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis points to a draw at half-time as the most likely scenario – BKMA were level at the break in 67% of matches and led at half-time in only 11%. In the second half the hosts score on average 0.56 goals versus 0.22 for Shirak and have scored 3 goals in the 61–75 minute window while the visitors only 1, which increases BKMA’s chances of a victory after the break. Shirak have yet to win a match this season (0% wins) and concede an average of 2.44 goals per game, with an xG of 0.92 versus the hosts’ 0.98, reducing the probability of an away win. Since the second half is goal-rich (89% of matches see at least one goal after the break for both teams) and BKMA convert chances better (11% conversion versus Shirak’s 7%), the half-time draw to home win (X/1) scenario looks strongest. I assign this combination the highest probability of 37%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| BKMA | Shirak | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BKMA is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - BKMA · 0.72 goals / match - Shirak
BKMA is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - BKMA · 1.89 goals / match - Shirak
BKMA scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Shirak keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Shirak scores in 44% of matches (8 of 18 matches), while BKMA keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - BKMA
Over / Under - Shirak
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BKMA is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - BKMA · 0.89 pts / match - Shirak
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
BKMA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shirak - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
BKMA
Shirak
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Armenian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| BKMA | Liga | Shirak | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.56 | • 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: BKMA 1 - 0 - 0 Shirak. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of BKMA vs Shirak?
The Armenian Premier League match finished BKMA 0:0 Shirak. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before BKMA vs Shirak?
BKMA score 1.11 goals per game on average and Shirak 0.72. The Armenian Premier League average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 58% of BKMA's matches and 39% of Shirak's.
What form are BKMA and Shirak in?
Over the last 5 games BKMA have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Shirak 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BKMA vs Shirak?
The statistical background for BKMA vs Shirak — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.