Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu: match statistics
Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Blaublitz Akita played Sagan Tosu in J2 League (Japan). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Blaublitz Akita: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Sagan Tosu: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Blaublitz Akita scores 1.38 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Sagan Tosu scores 1.00 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Blaublitz Akita 50%, Sagan Tosu 38%. Over 2.5: Blaublitz Akita 50%, Sagan Tosu 38%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Sagan Tosu has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.43. Blaublitz Akita: 11.3 shots per match, Sagan Tosu: 15.0.
Match halves
Blaublitz Akita: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38. Sagan Tosu: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Blaublitz Akita: 31-45+ (5 goals). Sagan Tosu: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J2 League: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Blaublitz Akita have the home advantage: they have won 40% of their home matches and average 1.8 goals per game there, while Sagan Tosu are still winless away and score just 0.5 goals per match on the road. The hosts have taken 6 points from their last 5 league matches, compared with 3 for the visitors, who have lost 4 of those 5 games. The difference in finishing is also evident in the home and away figures: Akita convert 17% of their shots, while Sagan manage just 3% and have failed to score in 75% of their away matches. The visitors can nevertheless create chances — their average away xG is 1.69, compared with Akita’s 1.38 at home — and the hosts allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.77, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. Even so, Akita’s clear edge in goals scored and Sagan’s poor finishing point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indicator against both teams scoring is Sagan Tosu’s attacking output: they have failed to score in 75% of their away matches and average just 0.5 goals. Over their last 5 matches, the visitors have averaged 0.6 goals, while Blaublitz Akita have conceded 1.0 goal per game. The hosts are more likely to find the net, averaging 1.5 goals at home, while Sagan concede 1.25 away. Sagan’s away xG of 1.69 is a risk to the BTTS - No pick; however, with a shot conversion rate of 3% and BTTS landing in just 25% of their away matches, it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score. This does not necessarily mean the match will finish 0-0.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line was not exceeded in 50% of Blaublitz Akita’s home matches and 75% of Sagan Tosu’s away games. The hosts average 1.5 goals at home, while the visitors score just 0.5 away and failed to find the net in 75% of those matches. Sagan scored 3 goals across its last five games, although its average xG was 1.41, suggesting the visitors’ attacking potential is greater than their actual output. Both teams went Over 2.5 goals in 40% of their last five matches, supporting a forecast of around 2.4 goals without ruling out a three-goal total. Therefore, Under 3.5 goals offers a clearer edge than the lower lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Sagan Tosu were level at the break in 75% of their away matches and failed to score before half-time in any of their last five games. Blaublitz Akita were level at half-time in 50% of their home matches, while leading in the other 50%, so a home lead after 45 minutes remains a notable alternative. Akita’s stronger attack over their last five matches supports a full-time win: they averaged 1.4 goals compared with Sagan’s 0.6, with Sagan losing four of those five games. At home, Akita average 1.0 goal after half-time, while the visitors have conceded an average of 1.2 goals in second halves over their last five matches. These figures point to a scenario in which Akita break the deadlock after the break, although their three draws in the last five matches limit confidence in the pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Blaublitz Akita | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Blaublitz Akita is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Blaublitz Akita · 0.8 pts / match - Sagan Tosu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Blaublitz Akita is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Blaublitz Akita · 1 goals / match - Sagan Tosu
Blaublitz Akita is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Blaublitz Akita · 1.38 goals / match - Sagan Tosu
Blaublitz Akita scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Sagan Tosu keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Sagan Tosu scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Blaublitz Akita keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Blaublitz Akita
Over / Under - Sagan Tosu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Blaublitz Akita is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Blaublitz Akita · 1.38 pts / match - Sagan Tosu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Blaublitz Akita - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sagan Tosu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Blaublitz Akita
Sagan Tosu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).
Teams vs league
| Blaublitz Akita | Liga | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Blaublitz Akita 0 - 0 - 2 Sagan Tosu. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu?
The J2 League match finished Blaublitz Akita 1:0 Sagan Tosu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Blaublitz Akita and Sagan Tosu?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Blaublitz Akita won 0, Sagan Tosu won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu?
Blaublitz Akita score 1.38 goals per game on average and Sagan Tosu 1.00. The J2 League average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Blaublitz Akita's matches and 38% of Sagan Tosu's.
What form are Blaublitz Akita and Sagan Tosu in?
Over the last 5 games Blaublitz Akita have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Sagan Tosu 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.