Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Petah Tikva: match statistics

Maccabi Petah Tikva have shown clearly better form in their last five matches, winning 3 games and averaging 1.8 points per match, while Bnei Sakhnin suffered 3 defeats and managed just 0.8 points per game. The visitors have also been significantly more clinical, scoring 8 goals during this period—four times as many as the hosts’ 2. Both teams’ defensive records have been similar over their last five matches, with Maccabi conceding 5 goals and Bnei Sakhnin 4, but the visitors’ attacking advantage is significant. In the current campaign, Maccabi opened with a 2:1 victory, whereas the hosts drew their only match 0:0. This points to greater potential for the visitors to edge a balanced contest in their favour, although Bnei Sakhnin’s poor finishing also increases the likelihood of a draw.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Bnei Sakhnin have scored just 0.4 goals per game in their last five matches, with both teams scoring in only 20% of those fixtures. Maccabi Petah Tikva are in better attacking form, averaging 1.6 goals and 1.62 xG over their last five matches, so a goal from them is likely. However, the hosts have a clear problem converting chances into goals: their xG stands at 1.05, but they have scored only 2 goals in five matches. Both defenses allow opponents chances worth approximately 1.72 and 1.71 xG, supporting the case for an away goal, but this does not offset the hosts’ poor finishing. The most likely scenario is therefore one in which at least one team—primarily Bnei Sakhnin—fails to score.

Bnei Sakhnin have scored just 0.4 goals per match over their last 5 games, while Maccabi Petah Tikva have conceded an average of 1.0 goal during this period, limiting the hosts’ projection to around 0.85 goals. The visitors have shown significantly greater attacking strength, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and generating an xG of 1.62, although Sakhnin have conceded only 0.8 goals per match. The total projection of 2.25 goals is below the league average of 2.8, and only 20% of Sakhnin’s last five matches went Over 2.5 goals. Maccabi did record Over 2.5 goals in 80% of their matches in this series, but the sum of their average goals scored and conceded is 2.6, making a four-goal or higher outcome less likely. The strongest signal is therefore Under 3.5, supported by the hosts’ limited attacking output and a projection clearly below four goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Maccabi Petah Tikva win at full-time, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 80% of their last five matches. During this period, Bnei Sakhnin failed to score a single goal before the break, while their opponents averaged just 0.2 goals, clearly increasing the likelihood of a cautious opening. After the interval, the visitors show greater attacking potential: they score an average of 1.0 goals compared with 0.4 for the hosts, and all five of their matches featured at least one second-half goal. The overall form also favours Maccabi Petah Tikva, who won three of their last five matches and averaged 1.8 points per game, while Bnei Sakhnin lost three times and averaged 0.8 points.