Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes: match statistics
Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Boca Juniors played Estudiantes in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 5 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Alberto José Armando. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Boca Juniors: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Estudiantes: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Boca Juniors scores 1.37 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Estudiantes scores 1.16 and concedes 0.53. League average: 2.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Boca Juniors 47%, Estudiantes 21%. Over 2.5: Boca Juniors 42%, Estudiantes 26%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Estudiantes has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.56. Boca Juniors: 13.3 shots per match, Estudiantes: 13.5.
Match halves
Boca Juniors: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.84. Estudiantes: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Boca Juniors: 76-90+ (9 goals). Estudiantes: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.07 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Boca Juniors draw as many as 56% of their home matches, while Estudiantes share the points in 38% of their away fixtures, clearly increasing the likelihood of a balanced result. The hosts create more chances, averaging 15.22 shots and an xG of 1.70 compared with the visitors’ 11.75 shots and xG of 1.37, yet they score only 1.11 goals per home match. Estudiantes have a very solid away defense: they concede just 0.38 goals per game and keep a clean sheet in 63% of matches, despite allowing opponents an xG of 1.46. Boca also defend effectively, averaging 0.67 goals conceded at home and recording clean sheets in 56% of matches, so this fixture should produce few goals. Both teams have won only 2 of their last 5 matches and scored 3 and 4 goals respectively during that period, further supporting the draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to one of the teams failing to score: BTTS occurred in only 20% of Boca Juniors’ matches and 25% of Estudiantes’ games this season, well below the league average of 44%. In their last five matches, both teams recorded BTTS exactly 0 times, scoring an average of just 0.6 and 0.8 goals per match, respectively. Estudiantes concede an average of only 0.38 goals per game this season and keep a clean sheet in 63% of matches, which significantly limits the hosts’ chances of scoring. Boca also have a solid defensive record, with an average of 0.7 goals conceded and 40% clean sheets, while their last five fixtures produced 4-5 goals conceded by each team. Despite decent xG figures of 1.73 for Boca and 1.37 for Estudiantes, low finishing efficiency and the highly defensive profiles of both teams support the BTTS: No pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
This is expected to be a low-scoring game, as Boca average 1.1 goals and Estudiantes 1.0, while the visitors concede just 0.38 goals per match. Estudiantes have kept a clean sheet in 63% of their matches, compared with 40% for Boca, significantly reducing the likelihood of an open game. Under 2.5 goals has landed in 70% of Boca’s matches and as many as 87% of Estudiantes’ games, while the 3.5-goal line has not been breached in 90% and 100% of cases, respectively. The teams’ last five appearances further produced just 3 goals for Boca and 4 for Estudiantes, with neither run featuring both teams scoring. Although the average xG figures stand at 1.73 for Boca and 1.37 for Estudiantes, their finishing record to date and highly solid defenses provide the strongest support for Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Estudiantes win after the full-time whistle, as Boca were level at the break in 80% of their matches, compared with 63% for Estudiantes. First halves are particularly tight: the hosts average just 0.2 goals before the break, while the visitors have yet to score, and both teams kept a clean sheet at half-time in 90% and 63% of their matches, respectively. After the break, the advantage shifts towards Estudiantes, who average 1.0 goal and concede none, whereas Boca score 0.9 goals but concede 0.6. The visitors also have a higher season points average, 1.88 compared with 1.60, while their defence has conceded an average of just 0.38 goals per match, favouring a result being decided in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Boca Juniors | Estudiantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Boca Juniors is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Boca Juniors · 1.16 goals / match - Estudiantes
Estudiantes is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Boca Juniors · 0.53 goals / match - Estudiantes
Boca Juniors scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 53% (10 of 19 matches).
Estudiantes scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Boca Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Boca Juniors
Over / Under - Estudiantes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Boca Juniors is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Boca Juniors · 1 pts / match - Estudiantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Boca Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Estudiantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Boca Juniors | Liga | Estudiantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.26 | 2.07 | ▼ 1.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 43% | ▼ 21% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 35% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 35% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Boca Juniors 2 - 1 - 1 Estudiantes. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes?
The Primera División match finished Boca Juniors 1:0 Estudiantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Boca Juniors and Estudiantes?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 2, Estudiantes won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes?
Boca Juniors score 1.37 goals per game on average and Estudiantes 1.16. The Primera División average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Boca Juniors's matches and 21% of Estudiantes's.
What form are Boca Juniors and Estudiantes in?
Over the last 5 games Boca Juniors have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Estudiantes 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.