Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo: match statistics
Boca Juniors presents solid home form with an 80% clean sheet rate and only 0.2 goals conceded on average per home match. The hosts boast a significant advantage in ball possession (64% vs 46%) and a higher xG metric (1.38 vs 0.91), indicating better quality in creating chances. San Lorenzo faces serious offensive issues on the road - 75% of their matches end without scoring, and an average of just 0.25 goals per game is alarmingly low. The recent form of both teams is evenly matched, but Boca Juniors' home stats and the visitors' offensive weakness strongly point to a home victory. However, Boca's high draw rate in home matches (60%) suggests the game could be a tight and defensive affair.
Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Boca Juniors play San Lorenzo in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 11 March 2026 at 23:45. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Boca Juniors: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. San Lorenzo: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Boca Juniors scores 1.41 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. San Lorenzo scores 0.94 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Boca Juniors 47%, San Lorenzo 41%. Over 2.5: Boca Juniors 35%, San Lorenzo 24%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Boca Juniors has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.24. Boca Juniors: 13.1 shots per match, San Lorenzo: 10.1.
Match halves
Boca Juniors: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88. San Lorenzo: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Boca Juniors: 76-90+ (8 goals). San Lorenzo: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Boca Juniors presents solid home form with an 80% clean sheet rate and only 0.2 goals conceded on average per home match. The hosts boast a significant advantage in ball possession (64% vs 46%) and a higher xG metric (1.38 vs 0.91), indicating better quality in creating chances. San Lorenzo faces serious offensive issues on the road - 75% of their matches end without scoring, and an average of just 0.25 goals per game is alarmingly low. The recent form of both teams is evenly matched, but Boca Juniors' home stats and the visitors' offensive weakness strongly point to a home victory. However, Boca's high draw rate in home matches (60%) suggests the game could be a tight and defensive affair.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Boca Juniors | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Boca Juniors is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Boca Juniors · 1.2 pts / match - San Lorenzo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Boca Juniors is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Boca Juniors · 0.94 goals / match - San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Boca Juniors · 0.94 goals / match - San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
San Lorenzo scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Boca Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Boca Juniors
Over / Under — San Lorenzo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Boca Juniors is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Boca Juniors · 1.18 pts / match - San Lorenzo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Boca Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
San Lorenzo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Boca Juniors | Liga | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.12 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 35% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 34% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Boca Juniors 1 - 0 - 0 San Lorenzo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo?
The Primera División match finished Boca Juniors 1:1 San Lorenzo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo?
Boca Juniors score 1.41 goals per game on average and San Lorenzo 0.94. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Boca Juniors's matches and 41% of San Lorenzo's.
What form are Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo in?
Over the last 5 games Boca Juniors have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and San Lorenzo 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.