Bohemians vs Drogheda United: match statistics

Bohemians sit 3rd, while Drogheda United are 9th, with the hosts’ season record standing at 15 wins and 7 defeats compared to the visitors’ 7 wins and 13 defeats. Bohemians’ form is extremely strong: they have collected 13 points from their last five matches, winning 4 times and scoring 16 goals, whereas Drogheda have lost 3 of their last 5 games. At home, the hosts create significantly more chances, averaging 16.2 shots and 5.87 shots on target per match, with an xG of 1.82; away from home, the visitors average just 9.71 shots, 3.07 shots on target and an xG of 1.08. Drogheda’s away defence concedes an average of 1.93 goals and allows opponents an xG of 1.77, which aligns well with Bohemians’ attacking potential. The hosts should control possession, averaging 60% compared to Drogheda’s 40%, while their chances of victory are further strengthened by the fact that the visitors have lost 50% of their league away matches.

BTTS - Yes is slightly more likely, as Drogheda records both teams scoring in 71% of matches, well above the league average of 59%. The visitors concede an average of 1.93 goals per game and have kept a clean sheet in only 14% of their appearances, while Bohemians have scored as many as 16 goals in their last five matches, averaging 3.2 per game. The hosts should also create more chances, with an average xG of 1.32, while Drogheda’s defence allows opponents 1.77 xG. The pick carries some risk due to Bohemians’ stronger defence, which has kept a clean sheet in 44% of matches, while Drogheda recorded BTTS in only 40% of their last five fixtures. Nevertheless, the visitors score an average of 1.21 goals per game, and the hosts allow opponents 1.58 xG, giving the both-teams-to-score scenario a moderate edge.

Bohemians are in excellent attacking form: they have averaged 3.2 goals in their last 5 matches, while their average xG stood at as much as 2.39. Drogheda United concede an average of 1.93 goals per match this season and allow opponents an average of 1.77 xG, which clearly supports the home side’s scoring potential. The 1.5-goal line was exceeded in 69% of Bohemians’ matches and in as many as 86% of Drogheda’s games, while over their last five fixtures, both teams recorded 80% and 60% of matches with at least three goals, respectively. The visitors also score an average of 1.21 goals, so the projected total of 2.96 goals provides the strongest value on Over 1.5.

Bohemians have a clear first-half advantage: they were leading at the break in 44% of matches, compared with just 7% for Drogheda, while the visitors were behind after 45 minutes in as many as 57% of games. The hosts average 0.81 goals before half-time, compared with Drogheda’s mere 0.21, and Drogheda failed to score in the first half in 79% of their appearances. Bohemians’ superiority is also evident in their last five matches, in which they averaged 3.2 goals, recorded 2.6 points per game and remained unbeaten. Drogheda concede an average of 1.93 goals per match, while their opponents’ average xG is 1.77, which supports the likelihood of the hosts maintaining their lead after the break. The 1/1 scenario is therefore the strongest, although the relatively high 21% probability for X/1 reflects the possibility of a draw at half-time followed by Bohemians gaining the upper hand.