Bolívar vs Blooming: match statistics

Bolívar have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals, while Blooming have failed to win, scoring 4 and conceding 11. At home, the hosts win 80% of their matches and score an average of 3.3 goals, whereas the visitors win only 11% of their away games and concede an average of 1.78 goals. Bolívar’s superiority in creating chances is reflected in their home xG of 2.61 compared with Blooming’s away xG of 1.24; the hosts also average 10.9 shots on target per match, against 4 for the visitors. Although Bolívar concede an average of 1.1 goals at home, their attacking effectiveness and Blooming’s poor away defence clearly point to a home win.

Bolívar keep a clean sheet in 45% of their matches and concede just 0.55 goals on average, limiting Blooming’s chances of scoring. The visitors average 1.00 goal per match, but their tally has fallen to 0.80 goals over their last 5 games, despite recording an xG of 1.54 in that period. A goal from the home side is considerably more likely: they score an average of 1.91 goals, while Blooming concede 1.78, including 11 goals in their last 5 matches. Although both teams have scored in 55% and 67% of their matches, respectively, Bolívar’s solid defence makes a match in which Blooming fail to score somewhat more likely. This supports BTTS - No, meaning at least one team will fail to score; it does not necessarily imply a 0-0 draw.

Bolívar score an average of 1.91 goals per match, while Blooming concede 1.78, giving the hosts a clear chance of scoring at least two goals. Over their last 5 matches, Bolívar averaged 2.8 goals, while Blooming conceded 2.2; the hosts also have the edge in average shots on target, with 6.55 compared with 4.0. The Over 1.5 goals line has landed in 73% of Bolívar’s matches and 89% of Blooming’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick. Higher lines are less certain: Over 2.5 goals landed in 36% and 44% of their matches, respectively, while Bolívar’s solid defence, conceding an average of 0.55 goals, could limit the visitors’ contribution to the scoreline.

Bolívar led at the break in 64% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.00 goals and conceding just 0.09 in first halves. Blooming average 0.56 goals in the first halves of their away matches, increasing the likelihood of the hosts leading after 45 minutes. Bolívar’s advantage should hold through to full time: at home, they score an average of 1.91 goals per match from 1.78 xG, while Blooming concede an average of 1.78 goals away. The visitors also concede an average of 1.22 goals after the break, so the hosts could still win even if the first half is level. However, the strongest scenario is Bolívar leading at the break and winning at full time.