Bolívar vs Guabirá: match statistics
Bolívar vs Guabirá: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bolívar played Guabirá in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 18 July 2026. Venue: Estadio Hernando Siles. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Bolívar: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Guabirá: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bolívar scores 2.22 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Guabirá scores 1.56 and concedes 2.22. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bolívar 67%, Guabirá 67%. Over 2.5: Bolívar 56%, Guabirá 100%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Bolívar has higher xG: 2.26 vs 1.61. Bolívar: 20.1 shots per match, Guabirá: 15.1.
Match halves
Bolívar: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.22. Guabirá: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Bolívar: 76-90+ (5 goals). Guabirá: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bolívar is the favorite in this matchup: at home they score an average of 3.25 goals per game and have xG 3.01 with 26 shots and 12.75 on target, while Guabirá away averages only 1.2 goals per game and xG 1.36 with 13 shots and 4.8 on target. The hosts control possession 71% vs 49% for the visitors and have a higher shot efficiency (conversion 13% vs 9%), and Bolívar’s home matches average 4.5 goals, indicating significant offensive potential. Guabirá’s defense is vulnerable on the road — they concede an average of 3 goals per match and have xG against 2.0, with a 60% away loss rate and 0% clean sheets. It is worth noting, however, that Guabirá scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches and won 3 of them, while Bolívar have gone without a win in their last 5 overall (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) and averaged 0.4 points per game. Considering the difference in xG, shot volume and goal differential (+8 for Bolívar at home vs -9 for Guabirá away), I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Bolívar averages 2.0 goals per match (xG 1.93) and has not had a single match without scoring this season (0% matches without a goal), while Guabirá concedes an average of 3.0 goals per match (xG against 2.0) and has recorded no clean sheets this season (0% clean sheets). Seasonal BTTS rates are 75% for Bolívar and 60% for Guabirá, with the league average at 66%, indicating a high share of Goal/Goal matches. In the last 5 fixtures Bolívar has 100% BTTS and Guabirá 80%; in this sample the away side averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, and the home side scored 1.2 and conceded 2.0. Additionally Bolívar averages 17.75 shots per match and 6.5 shots on target with a conversion rate of 11%, while Guabirá records 13.0 shots and 4.8 on target at 9% conversion, which increases the likelihood of an opening goal and an opponent response (xG_for_away 1.36). Considering Guabirá’s 0% clean sheets, Bolívar’s 0% matches without a goal, the seasonal and last-5 BTTS figures (75%/60% and 100%/80%) and xG 1.93 versus xG against 2.0, I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 78% versus 22% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals based on xG are 1.97 for Bolívar (xG_for 1.93 and opponents' xG_against 2.00 → average 1.97) and 1.20 for Guabirá (xG_for 1.36 and opponents' xG_against 1.04 → 1.20), totaling 3.17 goals. Season statistics strongly favor Over 2.5 — both teams have seasonOver25Percentage = 100% and the league averages 3.09 goals per match. Bolívar scores 2.0 goals at home on average with 17.75 shots and 6.5 on target, Guabirá away averages 1.2 goals with 13.0 shots and 4.8 on target; conversion rates are 11% vs 9%, so chances are created and converted. Additionally BTTS is 75% for Bolívar and 60% for Guabirá, and in the last 5 matches xG were 1.63 (Bolívar) and 1.46 (Guabirá), which increases the likelihood of at least 3 goals. On this basis I recommend backing Over 2.5 as the strongest signal (Over 1.5 is practically certain, Over 3.5 less likely ~42%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A halftime draw is the most likely outcome: the home team had a draw at the break in 50% of matches, and the away team in 40%, so HT 'X' dominates the analysis. Bolívar shows a clear advantage after the break — they score on average 1.25 goals in second halves and record better second-half points (on average 1.75 points), while Guabirá concedes on average 1.8 goals after the break and has weaker second-half returns (on average 0.8 points). Over the full match Bolívar has superior offensive metrics: xG 1.93 versus 1.36 for Guabirá, on average 17.75 shots versus 13.0 and 6.5 shots on target versus 4.8, which increases the hosts’ chances of scoring after the break. Therefore the most probable scenario is a halftime draw and a home win (X/1) — I assign it 28%; alternatively maintaining the home lead 1/1 I rate at 18%, and a full away win 2/2 at 15%. Additionally, seasonally Bolívar wins 50% of matches and Guabirá 20%, which confirms the hosts’ superiority in converting advantage into victory.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bolívar | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guabirá is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Bolívar · 2 pts / match - Guabirá
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolívar is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
2.22 goals / match - Bolívar · 1.56 goals / match - Guabirá
Bolívar is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Bolívar · 2.22 goals / match - Guabirá
Bolívar scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Guabirá keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Guabirá scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Bolívar keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bolívar
Over / Under - Guabirá
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bolívar is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Bolívar · 1.11 pts / match - Guabirá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bolívar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guabirá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bolívar
Guabirá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Bolívar | Liga | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.78 |
| Both teams scored | • 67% | 67% | • 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 20% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bolívar 2 - 0 - 0 Guabirá. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bolívar vs Guabirá?
The LFPB match finished Bolívar 4:0 Guabirá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bolívar and Guabirá?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bolívar won 2, Guabirá won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bolívar vs Guabirá?
Bolívar score 2.22 goals per game on average and Guabirá 1.56. The LFPB average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Bolívar's matches and 67% of Guabirá's.
What form are Bolívar and Guabirá in?
Over the last 5 games Bolívar have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Guabirá 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bolívar vs Guabirá?
The statistical background for Bolívar vs Guabirá — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.