Bolton Wanderers vs Barnsley: match statistics
Bolton Wanderers are displaying significantly better form, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins and only 6 losses this season. The hosts are in excellent shape, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and averaging 2.6 points per game. At home, Bolton are highly effective – with a 67% win rate, 40% clean sheets, and averaging 1.73 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.6. Barnsley fare much worse on the road, with an away record of 23% wins and 38% losses, conceding an average of 1.77 goals and keeping clean sheets in only 8% of their matches. The difference in xG (1.97 for Bolton vs 1.25 for Barnsley) and possession (59% vs 52%) further confirms the hosts' superiority. Considering all these factors, Bolton have a clear advantage and should win this match.
Bolton Wanderers vs Barnsley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bolton Wanderers played Barnsley in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Bolton Wanderers: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Barnsley: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bolton Wanderers scores 1.27 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Barnsley scores 1.62 and concedes 1.65. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bolton Wanderers 53%, Barnsley 65%. Over 2.5: Bolton Wanderers 40%, Barnsley 65%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.37. Bolton Wanderers: 16.5 shots per match, Barnsley: 11.9.
Match halves
Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80. Barnsley: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (12 goals). Barnsley: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bolton Wanderers are displaying significantly better form, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins and only 6 losses this season. The hosts are in excellent shape, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and averaging 2.6 points per game. At home, Bolton are highly effective – with a 67% win rate, 40% clean sheets, and averaging 1.73 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.6. Barnsley fare much worse on the road, with an away record of 23% wins and 38% losses, conceding an average of 1.77 goals and keeping clean sheets in only 8% of their matches. The difference in xG (1.97 for Bolton vs 1.25 for Barnsley) and possession (59% vs 52%) further confirms the hosts' superiority. Considering all these factors, Bolton have a clear advantage and should win this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bolton Wanderers | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bolton Wanderers is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers · 1.6 pts / match - Barnsley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barnsley is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers · 1.62 goals / match - Barnsley
Bolton Wanderers is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers · 1.65 goals / match - Barnsley
Bolton Wanderers scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Barnsley keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 26 matches).
Barnsley scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bolton Wanderers
Over / Under - Barnsley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Barnsley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bolton Wanderers
Barnsley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Bolton Wanderers | Liga | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.54 | ▲ 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 49% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 68% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 81% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bolton Wanderers 0 - 1 - 0 Barnsley. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bolton Wanderers vs Barnsley?
The EFL League One match finished Bolton Wanderers 3:2 Barnsley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bolton Wanderers vs Barnsley?
Bolton Wanderers score 1.27 goals per game on average and Barnsley 1.62. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Bolton Wanderers's matches and 65% of Barnsley's.
What form are Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley in?
Over the last 5 games Bolton Wanderers have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Barnsley 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bolton Wanderers vs Barnsley?
The statistical background for Bolton Wanderers vs Barnsley — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.