Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town: match statistics
Bolton Wanderers presents a decisive advantage as the host with an impressive record of 67% home wins and a +15 goal difference. The home side dominates in possession (59%), shot accuracy (5.83 on target per match), and xG (2.07 vs 0.9), demonstrating their offensive strength. Northampton Town records very poor results on the road with a 64% loss rate, only 27% wins, and a negative goal difference of -9. The visitors fail to score in 45% of away matches, and their average xG (1.07) is significantly lower than their average goals conceded (1.64). The form of both teams in the last five matches (Bolton: 1.4 PPG vs Northampton: 0.8 PPG) further confirms the hosts' advantage. Considering all statistics, a victory for Bolton Wanderers is the most probable scenario for this encounter.
Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bolton Wanderers played Northampton Town in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Bolton Wanderers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Northampton Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bolton Wanderers scores 1.35 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Northampton Town scores 0.96 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bolton Wanderers 57%, Northampton Town 39%. Over 2.5: Bolton Wanderers 39%, Northampton Town 39%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.11. Bolton Wanderers: 17.2 shots per match, Northampton Town: 9.0.
Match halves
Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.78. Northampton Town: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (9 goals). Northampton Town: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bolton Wanderers presents a decisive advantage as the host with an impressive record of 67% home wins and a +15 goal difference. The home side dominates in possession (59%), shot accuracy (5.83 on target per match), and xG (2.07 vs 0.9), demonstrating their offensive strength. Northampton Town records very poor results on the road with a 64% loss rate, only 27% wins, and a negative goal difference of -9. The visitors fail to score in 45% of away matches, and their average xG (1.07) is significantly lower than their average goals conceded (1.64). The form of both teams in the last five matches (Bolton: 1.4 PPG vs Northampton: 0.8 PPG) further confirms the hosts' advantage. Considering all statistics, a victory for Bolton Wanderers is the most probable scenario for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bolton Wanderers | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bolton Wanderers is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers · 0.8 pts / match - Northampton Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolton Wanderers is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers · 0.96 goals / match - Northampton Town
Bolton Wanderers is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.96 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers · 1.22 goals / match - Northampton Town
Bolton Wanderers scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
Northampton Town scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bolton Wanderers
Over / Under - Northampton Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bolton Wanderers is 73% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers · 0.78 pts / match - Northampton Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Northampton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bolton Wanderers
Northampton Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Bolton Wanderers | Liga | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.30 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 48% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bolton Wanderers 0 - 0 - 1 Northampton Town. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town?
The EFL League One match finished Bolton Wanderers 0:0 Northampton Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town?
Bolton Wanderers score 1.35 goals per game on average and Northampton Town 0.96. The EFL League One average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Bolton Wanderers's matches and 39% of Northampton Town's.
What form are Bolton Wanderers and Northampton Town in?
Over the last 5 games Bolton Wanderers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Northampton Town 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town?
The statistical background for Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.