Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage: match statistics
Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bolton Wanderers play Stevenage in EFL League One (England). The match date is 14 April 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Bolton Wanderers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Stevenage: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bolton Wanderers scores 1.55 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Stevenage scores 1.02 and concedes 1.02. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bolton Wanderers 61%, Stevenage 44%. Over 2.5: Bolton Wanderers 47%, Stevenage 35%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.20. Bolton Wanderers: 16.5 shots per match, Stevenage: 10.0.
Match halves
Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.04. Stevenage: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (28 goals). Stevenage: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win (1) — Bolton exhibits strong home metrics: winning 60% of matches at their ground, averaging 1.8 goals scored at home with a mean xG of 1.99 and a positive home goal difference of +19. Statistically, the hosts create significantly more chances (18.55 shots per match and 5.55 on target) and concede only 0.85 goals per home game, placing them in a superior defensive position versus the visitors. Stevenage on the road averages only 0.95 goals with an xG of 1.09, registers 9.33 shots (3.1 on target) and fails to score in 38% of away fixtures, limiting their offensive effectiveness. The visitors do have the better recent run over the last 5 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 2 points per game; 3 scored, 1 conceded) while Bolton’s last 5 read 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses (1 point per game; 4 scored, 6 conceded). Considering the advantage in xG (1.99 vs 1.09) and shots (18.55 vs 9.33), I still give a slight edge to the home side, although I expect a competitive contest.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bolton Wanderers | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bolton Wanderers is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers · 1.4 pts / match - Stevenage
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolton Wanderers is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers · 1.02 goals / match - Stevenage
Stevenage is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers · 1.02 goals / match - Stevenage
Bolton Wanderers scores in 80% of matches (39 of 49 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 40% (19 of 48 matches).
Stevenage scores in 73% of matches (35 of 48 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 27% (13 of 49 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bolton Wanderers
Over / Under — Stevenage
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (28 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +20 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bolton Wanderers
Stevenage
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Bolton Wanderers | Liga | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 27% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bolton Wanderers 0 - 1 - 0 Stevenage. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage?
The EFL League One match finished Bolton Wanderers 5:1 Stevenage. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage?
Bolton Wanderers score 1.55 goals per game on average and Stevenage 1.02. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Bolton Wanderers's matches and 44% of Stevenage's.
What form are Bolton Wanderers and Stevenage in?
Over the last 5 games Bolton Wanderers have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Stevenage 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.