Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü: match statistics

Keçiörengücü sit 8th, while Boluspor are bottom of the table, with the hosts having lost all 3 of their league matches so far and a goal difference of 1:7. The visitors have scored 8 goals in 3 league games this season and 12 in their last five, whereas Boluspor have conceded as many as 10 goals over the same period. Away from home, Keçiörengücü average 2 goals and 4.5 shots on target per match—significantly more than Boluspor manage at home, where they average just 0.5 goals and 1 shot on target. The quality of chances created also favours the visitors: their average xG is 1.34 compared with 0.77 for the hosts. Both teams concede an average of 2.5 goals on their own ground, but Keçiörengücü’s more effective attack and Boluspor’s poor run point to a greater likelihood of an away win.

The seasonal metrics of both teams clearly support goals at both ends: Boluspor and Keçiörengücü recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches, and neither team kept a clean sheet. Keçiörengücü are in particularly strong attacking form, averaging 2.4 goals scored over their last 5 matches, with 1.44 xG, while Boluspor conceded 2.0 goals per game during that period. The hosts have recently scored just 0.8 goals per match and recorded BTTS in 40% of their last 5 appearances, which clearly limits confidence in the pick. However, their opponents are not watertight either, conceding an average of 1.6 goals across their last five matches and allowing 1.53 xG against them, so Boluspor have a realistic route to scoring. The pick for "yes" is moderately stronger than "no", mainly due to the defensive weaknesses of both sides and the visitors' high scoring efficiency.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have exceeded this line in 100% of their league matches so far. Boluspor have conceded an average of 2.0 goals over their last five appearances, while Keçiörengücü have scored 2.4 goals per match during this period, clearly supporting the visitors’ attacking output. The quality of chances also points to an open game: the hosts’ average xG against the opponent’s defence is approximately 1.44, while the visitors’ attack projects around 1.59 against Boluspor’s defence. Neither team has kept a clean sheet so far, and both have scored at least one goal in every match, making the projected total of 2.85 goals clearly favourable compared with the 1.5 line.

The strongest signal points to Keçiörengücü leading at the break and holding on to win, as Boluspor have been behind at half-time in 80% of their last five matches, scoring an average of just 0.2 goals before the interval. Over the same period, the visitors averaged 1.2 goals before half-time, led in 40% of their matches, and recorded a half-time goal difference of +1 compared with -5 for the hosts. Across their last five full matches, Keçiörengücü averaged 2.4 goals and 1.4 points per game, while Boluspor recorded 0.8 goals and 0.6 points respectively. After the break, the visitors still look more consistent: they have not lost a single second half in their last five appearances, whereas the hosts lost 60% of them. Boluspor’s very strong home record—one win from one match—is based on too small a sample to outweigh the visitors’ clearly superior current form.