Boreham Wood vs Carlisle United: match statistics
Boreham Wood vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Boreham Wood played Carlisle United in National League (England). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: Emirates Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Boreham Wood: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Carlisle United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Boreham Wood scores 2.80 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Carlisle United scores 2.40 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Boreham Wood 80%, Carlisle United 100%. Over 2.5: Boreham Wood 100%, Carlisle United 60%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Carlisle United has higher xG: 2.27 vs 1.73. Boreham Wood: 14.8 shots per match, Carlisle United: 19.0.
Match halves
Boreham Wood: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 2.00. Carlisle United: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Boreham Wood: 76-90+ (5 goals). Carlisle United: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Boreham Wood sit top of the table and have won 4 of their 5 matches so far, while Carlisle United have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. The hosts create significantly more chances at home, averaging 22.5 shots and 7 on target, with an xG of 2.48, compared with Carlisle’s 9 shots, 4 efforts on target and xG of 1.45 away from home. Boreham Wood’s advantage is also evident in their control of the game, as they average 79% possession, compared with 56% for the visitors. Carlisle remain unbeaten away from home, but both of those matches ended in draws, while Boreham Wood average 2.5 goals per home game. The hosts’ defence does concede 2 goals per home match, so the visitors have a realistic chance of scoring, but the greater quality and volume of chances created point to a win for the league leaders.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is very strong, as Boreham Wood and Carlisle United have recorded BTTS in 100% of their league matches so far, compared with the league average of 68%. This trend remains high across the last five matches: 80% for the hosts and 100% for the visitors, with the teams averaging 2.8 and 2.4 goals respectively. Boreham Wood have yet to keep a clean sheet, while Carlisle also have 0% of matches without conceding, clearly strengthening the chances of goals at both ends. The hosts create particularly many chances, averaging 2.75 xG and 10.33 shots on target per match, while Carlisle generated 2.26 xG in their last five outings. The BTTS scenario is more likely than one team failing to score, although Boreham Wood’s defensive record, with 0.86 xG conceded over their last five matches, slightly reduces confidence in the pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have gone over 1.5 goals in every league match so far, and neither has kept a clean sheet. Boreham Wood average 3.33 total goals per home game and create plenty of chances, with an average xG of 2.75 and 10.33 shots on target. Carlisle average only 2.00 goals per away game, but they have scored 2.4 goals per match across their last five outings, while their average xG stood at 2.26. The hosts’ attacking form is also strong, having averaged 2.8 goals in their last five matches, with 100% of those games producing at least three goals. The Over 1.5 goals line is the strongest pick: the projected total of 3.05 goals is comfortably above it, while the data from both teams consistently points to at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Boreham Wood hold a clear statistical advantage in home matches: they average 3.33 goals, produce an xG of 2.75 and record 10.33 shots on target, while Carlisle’s away figures stand at 1.00 goal, 1.45 xG and 4.00 shots on target. The hosts have led at the break in all three of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 1.67 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.33. Away from home, Carlisle score only 0.50 goals before the break and have been behind at half-time in half of their away fixtures. Boreham Wood have won four of their last five matches and remain unbeaten during that period, whereas Carlisle have won two of their five. The visitors are capable of scoring, as both teams have found the net in 100% of their matches this season, but the hosts’ greater chance volume and strong starts point primarily towards Boreham Wood leading at half-time and securing the full-time victory: HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Boreham Wood | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Boreham Wood is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Boreham Wood · 1.6 pts / match - Carlisle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Boreham Wood is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
2.8 goals / match - Boreham Wood · 2.4 goals / match - Carlisle United
Boreham Wood is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Boreham Wood · 1.6 goals / match - Carlisle United
Boreham Wood scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Carlisle United scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Boreham Wood keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Boreham Wood
Over / Under - Carlisle United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Boreham Wood · 2.4 pts / match - Carlisle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Boreham Wood - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 40%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Boreham Wood
Carlisle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Boreham Wood | Liga | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.20 | 3.06 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 61% | • 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 20% | 18% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Boreham Wood 2 - 1 - 0 Carlisle United. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Boreham Wood vs Carlisle United?
The National League match finished Boreham Wood 2:1 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Boreham Wood and Carlisle United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Boreham Wood won 2, Carlisle United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Boreham Wood vs Carlisle United?
Boreham Wood score 2.80 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 2.40. The National League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Boreham Wood's matches and 100% of Carlisle United's.
What form are Boreham Wood and Carlisle United in?
Over the last 5 games Boreham Wood have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Carlisle United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boreham Wood vs Carlisle United?
The statistical background for Boreham Wood vs Carlisle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.