Borneo vs Arema: match statistics
Borneo displays impressive form at their own stadium with a 90% win rate in home matches and a +14 goal difference. The hosts have won their last five home meetings, scoring an average of 1.9 goals while conceding just 0.5 per match. Arema, despite good form in their last five matches overall, struggles significantly on the road – with only 27% wins and a high 55% draw rate, indicating a defensive approach. The difference in home quality for Borneo (xG 1.84) compared to Arema's away performance (xG 1.38) and the advantage in possession (53% vs 46%) further speak in favor of the hosts. Considering all statistics, Borneo is the clear favorite for this encounter, although the visitors' solid defense may make this a more difficult victory than the home form suggests.
Borneo vs Arema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Borneo played Arema in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 26 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Borneo: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Arema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Borneo scores 1.76 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Arema scores 1.41 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Borneo 52%, Arema 68%. Over 2.5: Borneo 57%, Arema 59%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Borneo has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.42. Borneo: 13.9 shots per match, Arema: 11.8.
Match halves
Borneo: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.10. Arema: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Borneo: 76-90+ (13 goals). Arema: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Borneo displays impressive form at their own stadium with a 90% win rate in home matches and a +14 goal difference. The hosts have won their last five home meetings, scoring an average of 1.9 goals while conceding just 0.5 per match. Arema, despite good form in their last five matches overall, struggles significantly on the road – with only 27% wins and a high 55% draw rate, indicating a defensive approach. The difference in home quality for Borneo (xG 1.84) compared to Arema's away performance (xG 1.38) and the advantage in possession (53% vs 46%) further speak in favor of the hosts. Considering all statistics, Borneo is the clear favorite for this encounter, although the visitors' solid defense may make this a more difficult victory than the home form suggests.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Borneo | Arema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arema is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Borneo · 2 pts / match - Arema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Borneo is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.76 goals / match - Borneo · 1.41 goals / match - Arema
Borneo is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Borneo · 1.23 goals / match - Arema
Borneo scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Arema keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Arema scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Borneo keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Borneo
Over / Under - Arema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Borneo is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Borneo · 1.32 pts / match - Arema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Borneo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Borneo
Arema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Borneo | Liga | Arema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.63 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Borneo 1 - 0 - 0 Arema. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Borneo vs Arema?
The Liga 1 match finished Borneo 3:1 Arema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Borneo vs Arema?
Borneo score 1.76 goals per game on average and Arema 1.41. The Liga 1 average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Borneo's matches and 68% of Arema's.
What form are Borneo and Arema in?
Over the last 5 games Borneo have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Arema 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Borneo vs Arema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.