Borneo vs Persebaya Surabaya: match statistics
Borneo displays impressive home form with a 91% win rate at home and an 11-match unbeaten streak on their own turf. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home game while conceding just 0.55, giving them a +16 advantage in goal difference. Persebaya Surabaya only has a 36% win rate on the road and draws as many as 45% of their matches, indicating issues with clinical finishing. The visitors score an average of just 1.18 goals away while conceding 0.82, and their recent form (1.4 points per game) is significantly weaker than the hosts (2 points per game). Borneo also dominates in xG statistics (1.75 vs 1.13) and possession (52% vs 44%), which confirms their qualitative advantage and makes them the favorite for this encounter.
Borneo vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Borneo played Persebaya Surabaya in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Borneo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Persebaya Surabaya: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Borneo scores 1.83 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.50 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Borneo 57%, Persebaya Surabaya 63%. Over 2.5: Borneo 61%, Persebaya Surabaya 46%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Borneo has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.35. Borneo: 13.3 shots per match, Persebaya Surabaya: 10.8.
Match halves
Borneo: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.09. Persebaya Surabaya: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Borneo: 76-90+ (14 goals). Persebaya Surabaya: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Borneo displays impressive home form with a 91% win rate at home and an 11-match unbeaten streak on their own turf. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home game while conceding just 0.55, giving them a +16 advantage in goal difference. Persebaya Surabaya only has a 36% win rate on the road and draws as many as 45% of their matches, indicating issues with clinical finishing. The visitors score an average of just 1.18 goals away while conceding 0.82, and their recent form (1.4 points per game) is significantly weaker than the hosts (2 points per game). Borneo also dominates in xG statistics (1.75 vs 1.13) and possession (52% vs 44%), which confirms their qualitative advantage and makes them the favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Borneo | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Borneo is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Borneo · 1.4 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Borneo is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Borneo · 1.5 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya
Borneo scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
Persebaya Surabaya scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Borneo keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Borneo
Over / Under - Persebaya Surabaya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Borneo is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Borneo · 1.54 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Borneo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Borneo
Persebaya Surabaya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Borneo | Liga | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 82% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Borneo 0 - 1 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Borneo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The Liga 1 match finished Borneo 5:1 Persebaya Surabaya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Borneo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Borneo score 1.83 goals per game on average and Persebaya Surabaya 1.50. The Liga 1 average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Borneo's matches and 63% of Persebaya Surabaya's.
What form are Borneo and Persebaya Surabaya in?
Over the last 5 games Borneo have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Persebaya Surabaya 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Borneo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.