Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München: match statistics
Bayern Munich presents itself decidedly better this season, occupying first place in the table with 19 wins and just one defeat, while Borussia Dortmund is in second position. The visitors boast impressive away form with 82% of matches won and an average of 3.36 goals scored per away match, which, with a conversion rate of 19% and an average of 8.64 shots on target, highlights their effectiveness. Bayern also dominates regarding possession (67% vs 56%) and expected goals (2.21 xG vs 1.73 xG), indicating a higher quality of created chances. Borussia has a solid home record, but the goal difference (28 vs 18) and recent form (Bayern: 2.6 pts/match vs Dortmund: 2.0 pts/match) speak in favor of the visitors. Taking all statistics into account, Bayern Munich has the advantage and greater chances of victory in this prestigious Der Klassiker clash.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Borussia Dortmund played Bayern München in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Borussia Dortmund: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Bayern München: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Borussia Dortmund scores 2.13 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Bayern München scores 3.70 and concedes 0.91. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Borussia Dortmund 52%, Bayern München 61%. Over 2.5: Borussia Dortmund 57%, Bayern München 100%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Bayern München has higher xG: 2.33 vs 1.61. Borussia Dortmund: 13.1 shots per match, Bayern München: 19.1.
Match halves
Borussia Dortmund: half-time lead 70%, second-half goals 1.09. Bayern München: half-time lead 65%, second-half goals 2.04.
Goals by minute
Borussia Dortmund: 31-45+ (15 goals). Bayern München: 76-90+ (25 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayern Munich presents itself decidedly better this season, occupying first place in the table with 19 wins and just one defeat, while Borussia Dortmund is in second position. The visitors boast impressive away form with 82% of matches won and an average of 3.36 goals scored per away match, which, with a conversion rate of 19% and an average of 8.64 shots on target, highlights their effectiveness. Bayern also dominates regarding possession (67% vs 56%) and expected goals (2.21 xG vs 1.73 xG), indicating a higher quality of created chances. Borussia has a solid home record, but the goal difference (28 vs 18) and recent form (Bayern: 2.6 pts/match vs Dortmund: 2.0 pts/match) speak in favor of the visitors. Taking all statistics into account, Bayern Munich has the advantage and greater chances of victory in this prestigious Der Klassiker clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Borussia Dortmund | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Borussia Dortmund is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Borussia Dortmund · 2 pts / match - Bayern München
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayern München is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
2.13 goals / match - Borussia Dortmund · 3.7 goals / match - Bayern München
Bayern München is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.96 goals / match - Borussia Dortmund · 0.91 goals / match - Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund scores in 100% of matches (23 of 23 matches), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
Bayern München scores in 100% of matches (23 of 23 matches), while Borussia Dortmund keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Borussia Dortmund
Over / Under - Bayern München
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Borussia Dortmund - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 70% of matches and wins 65%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bayern München - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 65% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (25 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +18 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Borussia Dortmund | Liga | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.09 | 3.17 | ▲ 4.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 23% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 76% | ▲ 96% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 83% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Borussia Dortmund 0 - 0 - 1 Bayern München. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München?
The Bundesliga match finished Borussia Dortmund 2:3 Bayern München. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München?
Borussia Dortmund score 2.13 goals per game on average and Bayern München 3.70. The Bundesliga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Borussia Dortmund's matches and 61% of Bayern München's.
What form are Borussia Dortmund and Bayern München in?
Over the last 5 games Borussia Dortmund have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bayern München 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.