Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: match statistics
Borussia Dortmund holds a decisive advantage as the home team, currently sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 77% home wins and only 8% losses. The hosts score an average of 2.31 goals per home match with a 16% conversion rate and keep clean sheets in 62% of matches. Hamburger SV performs poorly away from home with just 17% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference of -11, failing to score in 42% of away matches. The recent form of both teams over the last 5 matches also favors Borussia (1.4 pts/match vs 1.0 pts/match). xG statistics show a clear advantage for the hosts (1.69 vs 1.28), which, combined with the visitors' weak defense (conceding an average of 1.67 goals per away match), further confirms the predicted victory for Borussia Dortmund.
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Borussia Dortmund played Hamburger SV in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Borussia Dortmund: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Hamburger SV: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Borussia Dortmund scores 2.12 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Hamburger SV scores 1.12 and concedes 1.42. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Borussia Dortmund 54%, Hamburger SV 58%. Over 2.5: Borussia Dortmund 58%, Hamburger SV 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Borussia Dortmund has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.36. Borussia Dortmund: 13.1 shots per match, Hamburger SV: 12.4.
Match halves
Borussia Dortmund: half-time lead 73%, second-half goals 1.08. Hamburger SV: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Borussia Dortmund: 31-45+ (15 goals). Hamburger SV: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Borussia Dortmund holds a decisive advantage as the home team, currently sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 77% home wins and only 8% losses. The hosts score an average of 2.31 goals per home match with a 16% conversion rate and keep clean sheets in 62% of matches. Hamburger SV performs poorly away from home with just 17% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference of -11, failing to score in 42% of away matches. The recent form of both teams over the last 5 matches also favors Borussia (1.4 pts/match vs 1.0 pts/match). xG statistics show a clear advantage for the hosts (1.69 vs 1.28), which, combined with the visitors' weak defense (conceding an average of 1.67 goals per away match), further confirms the predicted victory for Borussia Dortmund.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Borussia Dortmund | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Borussia Dortmund is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Borussia Dortmund · 1 pts / match - Hamburger SV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Borussia Dortmund is 89% better for: goals scored per match.
2.12 goals / match - Borussia Dortmund · 1.12 goals / match - Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Borussia Dortmund · 1.42 goals / match - Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund scores in 100% of matches (26 of 26 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Hamburger SV scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Borussia Dortmund keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Borussia Dortmund
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Borussia Dortmund is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.38 pts / match - Borussia Dortmund · 1.08 pts / match - Hamburger SV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Borussia Dortmund - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 73% of matches and wins 65%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Borussia Dortmund | Liga | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.12 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 58% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 23% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 76% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 84% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Borussia Dortmund 0 - 1 - 0 Hamburger SV. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
The Bundesliga match finished Borussia Dortmund 3:2 Hamburger SV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
Borussia Dortmund score 2.12 goals per game on average and Hamburger SV 1.12. The Bundesliga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Borussia Dortmund's matches and 58% of Hamburger SV's.
What form are Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV in?
Over the last 5 games Borussia Dortmund have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hamburger SV 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
The statistical background for Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.