Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05: match statistics
Borussia Dortmund presents impressive home form with 80% of matches won and just one defeat all season. The hosts score an average of 2.2 goals per match at home while conceding just 0.8, resulting in a goal difference of +14. Mainz 05 has poor results on the road – only 20% wins, 50% losses, and not a single clean sheet, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. The difference in xG quality is significant: Dortmund generates 1.71 xG per home match compared to Mainz's 1.14 xG away, alongside a better defense (1.07 xGA vs 1.95 xGA). Despite Mainz's good recent form in the league, their away statistics and Borussia's dominance at home unequivocally point to a certain victory for the hosts. Possession advantage (56% vs 40%) and shooting efficiency further confirm the clear class difference between the two teams in this clash.
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Borussia Dortmund played Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Borussia Dortmund: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Mainz 05: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Borussia Dortmund scores 2.05 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Mainz 05 scores 1.19 and concedes 1.57. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Borussia Dortmund 52%, Mainz 05 57%. Over 2.5: Borussia Dortmund 52%, Mainz 05 52%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Borussia Dortmund has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.33. Borussia Dortmund: 13.2 shots per match, Mainz 05: 11.2.
Match halves
Borussia Dortmund: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 1.05. Mainz 05: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Borussia Dortmund: 31-45+ (14 goals). Mainz 05: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Borussia Dortmund presents impressive home form with 80% of matches won and just one defeat all season. The hosts score an average of 2.2 goals per match at home while conceding just 0.8, resulting in a goal difference of +14. Mainz 05 has poor results on the road – only 20% wins, 50% losses, and not a single clean sheet, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. The difference in xG quality is significant: Dortmund generates 1.71 xG per home match compared to Mainz's 1.14 xG away, alongside a better defense (1.07 xGA vs 1.95 xGA). Despite Mainz's good recent form in the league, their away statistics and Borussia's dominance at home unequivocally point to a certain victory for the hosts. Possession advantage (56% vs 40%) and shooting efficiency further confirm the clear class difference between the two teams in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Borussia Dortmund | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Borussia Dortmund is 25% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Borussia Dortmund · 2.4 pts / match - Mainz 05
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Borussia Dortmund is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
2.05 goals / match - Borussia Dortmund · 1.19 goals / match - Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund is 65% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Borussia Dortmund · 1.57 goals / match - Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund scores in 100% of matches (21 of 21 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
Mainz 05 scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Borussia Dortmund keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Borussia Dortmund
Over / Under - Mainz 05
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Borussia Dortmund is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.38 pts / match - Borussia Dortmund · 1.19 pts / match - Mainz 05
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Borussia Dortmund - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 67%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Borussia Dortmund
Mainz 05
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Borussia Dortmund | Liga | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.18 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 62% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 23% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 82% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 - 0 Mainz 05. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05?
The Bundesliga match finished Borussia Dortmund 4:0 Mainz 05. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05?
Borussia Dortmund score 2.05 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 1.19. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Borussia Dortmund's matches and 57% of Mainz 05's.
What form are Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05 in?
Over the last 5 games Borussia Dortmund have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Mainz 05 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.