Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: match statistics
Borussia Dortmund is the clear favorite in this clash. The hosts sit in 2nd place and display impressive home form with a 75% win rate and just 0.5 goals conceded per match on average at home. St. Pauli, sitting in 17th position, has a dramatic away record with 67% losses and only 11% wins on the road. The difference in offensive quality is massive – Dortmund scores an average of 2 goals per match at home, while St. Pauli nets just 0.67 goals away. Additionally, the hosts have a significantly higher xG (1.71 vs 1.04) and ball possession (54% vs 44%), confirming their advantage. The goal difference of both teams (+12 for Dortmund in home games vs -7 for St. Pauli in away games) clearly points to a certain victory for the hosts.
Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Borussia Dortmund played St. Pauli in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Borussia Dortmund: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. St. Pauli: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Borussia Dortmund scores 1.88 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. St. Pauli scores 0.88 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Borussia Dortmund 47%, St. Pauli 50%. Over 2.5: Borussia Dortmund 41%, St. Pauli 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Borussia Dortmund has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.23. Borussia Dortmund: 12.5 shots per match, St. Pauli: 10.4.
Match halves
Borussia Dortmund: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.88. St. Pauli: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Borussia Dortmund: 31-45+ (11 goals). St. Pauli: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Borussia Dortmund is the clear favorite in this clash. The hosts sit in 2nd place and display impressive home form with a 75% win rate and just 0.5 goals conceded per match on average at home. St. Pauli, sitting in 17th position, has a dramatic away record with 67% losses and only 11% wins on the road. The difference in offensive quality is massive – Dortmund scores an average of 2 goals per match at home, while St. Pauli nets just 0.67 goals away. Additionally, the hosts have a significantly higher xG (1.71 vs 1.04) and ball possession (54% vs 44%), confirming their advantage. The goal difference of both teams (+12 for Dortmund in home games vs -7 for St. Pauli in away games) clearly points to a certain victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Borussia Dortmund | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Borussia Dortmund is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Borussia Dortmund · 1 pts / match - St. Pauli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Borussia Dortmund is 114% better for: goals scored per match.
1.88 goals / match - Borussia Dortmund · 0.88 goals / match - St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Borussia Dortmund · 1.75 goals / match - St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund scores in 100% of matches (17 of 17 matches), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
St. Pauli scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Borussia Dortmund keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Borussia Dortmund
Over / Under - St. Pauli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Borussia Dortmund is 190% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.35 pts / match - Borussia Dortmund · 0.81 pts / match - St. Pauli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Borussia Dortmund - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 59%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Borussia Dortmund
St. Pauli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Borussia Dortmund | Liga | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.76 | 3.28 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 64% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 24% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 83% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Borussia Dortmund 0 - 1 - 0 St. Pauli. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli?
The Bundesliga match finished Borussia Dortmund 3:2 St. Pauli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli?
Borussia Dortmund score 1.88 goals per game on average and St. Pauli 0.88. The Bundesliga average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Borussia Dortmund's matches and 50% of St. Pauli's.
What form are Borussia Dortmund and St. Pauli in?
Over the last 5 games Borussia Dortmund have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and St. Pauli 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli?
The statistical background for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.