Borussia M'gladbach vs Union Berlin: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Borussia M'gladbach presents poor home form with just 18% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 1.91 goals per match. Union Berlin also does not impress in away matches, winning only 27% of games and holding an identical goal difference of -8 on the road. Both teams have similar xG indicators (M'gladbach 1.24 vs 1.74, Union 1.41 vs 1.41), suggesting comparable offensive and defensive potential. The form over the last five matches is catastrophic for the hosts (0.4 PPG), but the visitors are not shining either (0.8 PPG). Taking into account the poor disposition of both squads, M'gladbach's high percentage of draws at home (36%), and the scoring difficulties of both teams, the most probable result is a sharing of points.
Borussia M'gladbach vs Union Berlin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Borussia M'gladbach played Union Berlin in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Borussia M'gladbach: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Union Berlin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Borussia M'gladbach scores 1.13 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Union Berlin scores 1.26 and concedes 1.61. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Borussia M'gladbach 39%, Union Berlin 61%. Over 2.5: Borussia M'gladbach 57%, Union Berlin 57%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Union Berlin has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.25. Borussia M'gladbach: 11.3 shots per match, Union Berlin: 12.7.
Match halves
Borussia M'gladbach: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.70. Union Berlin: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Borussia M'gladbach: 61-75 (7 goals). Union Berlin: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Borussia M'gladbach presents poor home form with just 18% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 1.91 goals per match. Union Berlin also does not impress in away matches, winning only 27% of games and holding an identical goal difference of -8 on the road. Both teams have similar xG indicators (M'gladbach 1.24 vs 1.74, Union 1.41 vs 1.41), suggesting comparable offensive and defensive potential. The form over the last five matches is catastrophic for the hosts (0.4 PPG), but the visitors are not shining either (0.8 PPG). Taking into account the poor disposition of both squads, M'gladbach's high percentage of draws at home (36%), and the scoring difficulties of both teams, the most probable result is a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Borussia M'gladbach | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Berlin is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Borussia M'gladbach · 0.8 pts / match - Union Berlin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Berlin is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Borussia M'gladbach · 1.26 goals / match - Union Berlin
Union Berlin is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Borussia M'gladbach · 1.61 goals / match - Union Berlin
Borussia M'gladbach scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Union Berlin keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Union Berlin scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Borussia M'gladbach keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Borussia M'gladbach
Over / Under - Union Berlin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Berlin is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Borussia M'gladbach · 1.13 pts / match - Union Berlin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Borussia M'gladbach - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Union Berlin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Borussia M'gladbach
Union Berlin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Borussia M'gladbach | Liga | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.83 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 23% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 83% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Borussia M'gladbach 0 - 0 - 1 Union Berlin. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Borussia M'gladbach vs Union Berlin?
The Bundesliga match finished Borussia M'gladbach 1:0 Union Berlin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Borussia M'gladbach vs Union Berlin?
Borussia M'gladbach score 1.13 goals per game on average and Union Berlin 1.26. The Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Borussia M'gladbach's matches and 61% of Union Berlin's.
What form are Borussia M'gladbach and Union Berlin in?
Over the last 5 games Borussia M'gladbach have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Union Berlin 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Borussia M'gladbach vs Union Berlin?
The statistical background for Borussia M'gladbach vs Union Berlin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.