Boston River vs Peñarol: match statistics
Peñarol is the clear favorite in this match. The visitors are in excellent form with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss this season, scoring 12 goals while conceding just 6. Boston River, on the other hand, is performing very poorly, especially at home, where they haven't won a single match (0% win rate), with 75% of their home matches ending in defeat, scoring only 3 goals all season. Peñarol dominates in terms of possession (54% vs 47%), shot accuracy (7% vs 3%), and expected goals (xG 1.44 vs 1.02). The visitors' form in the last five matches (W W D W W, 2.6 points per game) contrasts sharply with the hosts' dismal form (D W L L W, 1.4 points per game). All key indicators point to a certain victory for Peñarol.
Boston River vs Peñarol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Boston River played Peñarol in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 25 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Boston River: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Peñarol: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Boston River scores 0.43 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Peñarol scores 1.71 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Boston River 29%, Peñarol 71%. Over 2.5: Boston River 14%, Peñarol 57%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Peñarol has higher xG: 1.51 vs 0.91. Boston River: 6.3 shots per match, Peñarol: 14.0.
Match halves
Boston River: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.29. Peñarol: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Boston River: 31-45+ (1 goals). Peñarol: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peñarol is the clear favorite in this match. The visitors are in excellent form with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss this season, scoring 12 goals while conceding just 6. Boston River, on the other hand, is performing very poorly, especially at home, where they haven't won a single match (0% win rate), with 75% of their home matches ending in defeat, scoring only 3 goals all season. Peñarol dominates in terms of possession (54% vs 47%), shot accuracy (7% vs 3%), and expected goals (xG 1.44 vs 1.02). The visitors' form in the last five matches (W W D W W, 2.6 points per game) contrasts sharply with the hosts' dismal form (D W L L W, 1.4 points per game). All key indicators point to a certain victory for Peñarol.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Peñarol boasts very solid defensive metrics: just 0.67 goals conceded per match and a 67% clean sheet rate this season, which lowers Boston River's chances of scoring. Boston River has averaged only 0.6 goals in their last 5 matches (xG 0.94), with a BTTS rate of just 20% over this period, suggesting more frequent goalless outings. Simultaneously, Peñarol has conceded only 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 games, and their xG against (0.84) supports the scenario of limiting the opponent's chances. Although the seasonal xG averages of both sides (approx. 1.4–1.6 xG) indicate goal-scoring potential, Boston River's current form and Peñarol's high defensive efficiency are stronger signals against BTTS. Therefore, the outcome where at least one team fails to score is more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and recent form from the last 5 matches indicates a moderate goal tally (approximately 2.22 total). Peñarol has a very solid defense this season (0.67 goals conceded per match) and a high CS% (67%), which limits the match's goal ceiling. Boston River averages only 0.6 goals scored in their last 5 matches, and their last5 Over 2.5 is 0%, reinforcing the lower-score scenario despite their decent seasonal home averages. Meanwhile, the xG against for both sides is around 1.0 (0.97–0.98), suggesting no conditions for a 'goal fest'. Compared to the league average (2.27 goals), the forecast remains slightly under-leaning, with Under 3.5 being the strongest pick due to the low probability of exceeding 4 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for the halftime result is a draw: Peñarol have a 67% rate of matches drawn at HT, concede 0.0 goals on average in the first half, and maintain a 100% clean sheet rate at the break, while Boston River have drawn 80% of their last 5 matches at halftime, with a very low average goals scored in the first half (0.2). In the second half, the advantage swings towards the visitors, as Peñarol are in clearly better form (last5 PPG 2.6, 80% wins, 0% losses) with a stable defense (last5 conceded 0.6). Boston River are in weaker recent form (last5 scored 0.6, PPG 1.4) and struggle to maintain a lead in matches. Furthermore, predicting a Peñarol win is supported by their seasonal efficiency in defending a lead (67% clean sheets), which favors a 'to nil' or 'to 1' scenario after the break. Therefore, the most likely outcome is X/2, with 2/2 as an alternative in case of a more open start.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Boston River | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.14 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peñarol is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Boston River · 2.6 pts / match - Peñarol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 298% better for: goals scored per match.
0.43 goals / match - Boston River · 1.71 goals / match - Peñarol
Peñarol is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Boston River · 0.86 goals / match - Peñarol
Boston River scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Peñarol scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Boston River keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Boston River
Over / Under - Peñarol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Boston River · 1.57 pts / match - Peñarol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Boston River - second-half results
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Boston River
Peñarol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Boston River | Liga | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.43 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 46% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 46% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 75% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Boston River 1 - 1 - 0 Peñarol. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Boston River vs Peñarol?
The Primera División match finished Boston River 0:2 Peñarol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Boston River and Peñarol?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Boston River won 1, Peñarol won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Boston River vs Peñarol?
Boston River score 0.43 goals per game on average and Peñarol 1.71. The Primera División average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Boston River's matches and 71% of Peñarol's.
What form are Boston River and Peñarol in?
Over the last 5 games Boston River have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Peñarol 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boston River vs Peñarol?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.