Uruguay - Primera DivisiónParque José NasazziData current as of 18 September 2026

Boston River vs Progreso: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Boston River vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Boston River play Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Parque José Nasazzi.

Current form

Boston River: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Progreso: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Boston River scores 0.96 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Progreso scores 0.75 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.36 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Boston River 46%, Progreso 39%. Over 2.5: Boston River 43%, Progreso 39%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Boston River has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.17. Boston River: 10.3 shots per match, Progreso: 8.7.

Match halves

Boston River: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.64. Progreso: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Boston River: 76-90+ (8 goals). Progreso: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.36 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Boston RiverProgreso
0.96Goals scored / match0.75
Boston RiverProgreso
1.36Goals conceded / match1.46
Boston RiverProgreso
51%Average possession47%
Boston RiverProgreso
4.07Shots on target / match3.32
Boston RiverProgreso

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.25Shots per match8.68
Boston RiverProgreso
4.07Shots on target3.32
Boston RiverProgreso
9.4%Shot conversion8.6%
Boston RiverProgreso
51%Possession47%
Boston RiverProgreso
1.3xG for1.17
Boston RiverProgreso
1.58xG against1.48
Boston RiverProgreso

Shooting quality

Boston River: BalancedProgreso: Balanced
Boston RiverProgreso
Accuracy (shots on target)40%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Progreso is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Boston River · 1.2 pts / match - Progreso

Boston River
DWDLL
Season result split
29% W21% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-14
1.07 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-5
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WLDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Progreso
LLWWL
Season result split
21% W14% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-18
0.79 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-9
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Boston River is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

0.96 goals / match - Boston River · 0.75 goals / match - Progreso

Boston River is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.36 goals / match - Boston River · 1.46 goals / match - Progreso

Boston River scoring profile: strong

Boston River scores in 54% of matches (15 of 28 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).

Progreso scoring profile: strong

Progreso scores in 54% of matches (15 of 28 matches), while Boston River keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).

27Goals scored (season)21
Boston RiverProgreso
38Goals conceded (season)41
Boston RiverProgreso
2.32Average goals in match2.21
Boston RiverProgreso
6Goals scored (last 5)3
Boston RiverProgreso
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
Boston RiverProgreso

How often they score at least...

54%1 goal54%
Boston RiverProgreso
25%2 goals18%
Boston RiverProgreso
11%3 goals4%
Boston RiverProgreso
7%4 goals0%
Boston RiverProgreso

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal86%
Boston RiverProgreso
36%2 goals50%
Boston RiverProgreso
14%3 goals11%
Boston RiverProgreso
4%4 goals0%
Boston RiverProgreso

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time14%
Boston RiverProgreso
4%BTTS in both halves7%
Boston RiverProgreso
14%Scored in both halves14%
Boston RiverProgreso

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Boston RiverProgreso
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Boston RiverProgreso
60%BTTS - last 520%
Boston RiverProgreso

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

54%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Boston RiverProgreso
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Boston RiverProgreso
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Boston RiverProgreso

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Boston RiverProgreso
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Boston RiverProgreso
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
Boston RiverProgreso

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Boston River is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Boston River · 0.82 pts / match - Progreso

Boston River - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing
Progreso - half-time state
14% leading39% draw46% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.82
Boston RiverProgreso
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.32
Boston RiverProgreso
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
Boston RiverProgreso
0.82Average goals (1st half)1.14
Boston RiverProgreso
54%Clean sheet before half-time43%
Boston RiverProgreso
75%No goal before half-time71%
Boston RiverProgreso

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per match (2nd half)0.96
Boston RiverProgreso
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
Boston RiverProgreso
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
Boston RiverProgreso
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.07
Boston RiverProgreso
39%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Boston RiverProgreso
57%No goal after half-time61%
Boston RiverProgreso

Boston River - second-half results

21% W43% D36% L
28
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Progreso - second-half results

18% W43% D39% L
23
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Boston River - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Progreso - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Boston River
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
1
5
16-30
5
4
31-45
6
5
46-60
4
9
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Progreso
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
2
8
16-30
3
7
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
6
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.27
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
29%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
21%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Boston River

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Progreso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Boston RiverLigaProgreso
Average goals in match 2.322.36 2.21
Both teams scored 46%50% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%44% 39%
Clean sheets 18%29% 14%
Goal before half-time 54%66% 71%
Goal after half-time 71%73% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.36
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Boston River 2 - 1 - 1 Progreso. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Progreso
0 : 1
Boston River
CA Boston River
2 : 1
Club Atlético Progreso
Club Atlético Progreso
2 : 0
CA Boston River
Club Atlético Progreso
2 : 2
CA Boston River

FAQ

When do Boston River and Progreso play?

Boston River face Progreso on 19 September 2026 in Primera División at Parque José Nasazzi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Boston River and Progreso?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Boston River won 2, Progreso won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Boston River vs Progreso?

Boston River score 0.96 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.75. The Primera División average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Boston River's matches and 39% of Progreso's.

What form are Boston River and Progreso in?

Over the last 5 games Boston River have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Progreso 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boston River vs Progreso?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Boston River vs Progreso: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.