Boston River vs Wanderers: match statistics
Boston River vs Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Boston River played Wanderers in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Boston River: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Wanderers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Boston River scores 0.56 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Wanderers scores 1.11 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Boston River 33%, Wanderers 44%. Over 2.5: Boston River 22%, Wanderers 56%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Wanderers has higher xG: 1.45 vs 0.98. Boston River: 7.2 shots per match, Wanderers: 11.3.
Match halves
Boston River: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.44. Wanderers: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Boston River: 76-90+ (3 goals). Wanderers: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wanderers appear to be favorites: they have scored 10 goals this season versus Boston River’s 5, and in the last 5 matches they recorded 6 goals compared to the hosts’ 3 with xG 1.31 vs 0.98. The visitors average 11.25 shots per game versus the hosts’ 7.6 and have a conversion rate around 9% vs 3%, indicating clearly better quality and efficiency in created chances. The home side score only 0.2 goals per game at home and failed to score in 80% of home matches, while Wanderers average 1.0 goal away and were kept off the scoresheet in only 25% of games; over the last 5 fixtures the hosts averaged 1.2 points per game and the visitors 1.4. Defensively both teams are similar (conceding on average 1.2 goals for Boston River vs 1.25 for Wanderers), so clinical finishing of created chances will be decisive. Considering the higher xG, greater shot volume and better conversion, I assign Wanderers a 65% chance to win, draw 20% and a 15% upset for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis gives a slight edge to the 'Both Teams To Score' scenario — Wanderers have a season BTTS of 50%, Boston River 40%, and the league average is 49%, which places the baseline close to 'Yes'. This is supported by xG: Boston River have an attacking xG of 1.57 versus Wanderers' xG against of 1.47, so the visitors create realistic chances; Wanderers have an attacking xG of 1.31 versus Boston's xG against of 1.50, which somewhat reduces their offensive efficiency. The away side have scored more goals this season (10 vs 5) and have 6 goals in the last 5 matches versus the home side's 3, while the league averages 2.39 goals per match, indicating a baseline tendency for goals. Counterweight is Boston's higher clean sheet rate of 40% and the home team's low BTTS rate in the last 5 matches of 20%, as well as Wanderers' lower shots on target (3.0 vs 5.2), which lowers confidence that both teams will score. Considering the balance of signals (away BTTS 50% and xG/shots suggesting goals from both sides, alongside a moderate home potential to keep a clean sheet) I assess the probability of BTTS at 60% for 'Yes' and 40% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I pick Over 1.5 goals as the best betting option. Boston River has xG 1.57, Wanderers 1.31, and xG against is 1.50 (home) and 1.47 (away), which projects ~1.52 goals for the home side and ~1.41 for the visitors (total ~2.93). Seasonally Boston River scored over 1.5 goals in 80% of matches and Wanderers in 75% (average 77.5%), while Over 2.5 occurred in 60% and 50% of matches respectively, so the strongest signal is for Over 1.5. Additionally, the home team averages 5.2 shots on target versus 3.0 for the visitors and has a higher shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%), which boosts goal probability. For these reasons Over 1.5 is the most justified and predictable choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I expect a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time. The hosts record a draw at the break in 60% of matches and average 0.6 goals by half-time versus 0.5 for Wanderers, while 80% of their first halves feature at least one goal. Over 90 minutes I forecast a Boston River victory based on higher xG (1.57 vs 1.31), more on-target shots (5.2 vs 3.0) and better finishing (11% vs 9%), which corresponds to a season home-win rate of 40% versus 25% for the visitors. Additionally, the hosts have scored 3 goals in minutes 31–45 and 2 goals in 46–60, indicating activity late in the first half and immediately after the break, allowing a turnaround from an HT draw; therefore I select X/1 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Boston River | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wanderers is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Boston River · 1.4 pts / match - Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wanderers is 98% better for: goals scored per match.
0.56 goals / match - Boston River · 1.11 goals / match - Wanderers
Boston River is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Boston River · 1.22 goals / match - Wanderers
Boston River scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Wanderers scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Boston River keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Boston River
Over / Under - Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wanderers is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / match - Boston River · 1.11 pts / match - Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Boston River - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Boston River
Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Boston River | Liga | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.39 | • 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 68% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Boston River 1 - 1 - 0 Wanderers. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Boston River vs Wanderers?
The Primera División match finished Boston River 4:1 Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Boston River and Wanderers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Boston River won 1, Wanderers won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Boston River vs Wanderers?
Boston River score 0.56 goals per game on average and Wanderers 1.11. The Primera División average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Boston River's matches and 44% of Wanderers's.
What form are Boston River and Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Boston River have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Wanderers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boston River vs Wanderers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.