Boston United vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Boston United played Carlisle United in National League (England). The match was played on 22 November 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Boston United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Carlisle United: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Boston United scores 1.05 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Carlisle United scores 1.84 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Boston United 58%, Carlisle United 47%. Over 2.5: Boston United 42%, Carlisle United 47%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Carlisle United has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.18. Boston United: 8.4 shots per match, Carlisle United: 16.4.

Match halves

Boston United: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.79. Carlisle United: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.11.

Goals by minute

Boston United: 46-60 (9 goals). Carlisle United: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

41Possession (%)59
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
17Shots10
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
6Shots on target4
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
2xG1.31
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
11Corners7
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
69Dangerous attacks53
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
10Fouls11
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
3Cards2
Boston UnitedCarlisle United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Boston UnitedCarlisle United
1.05Goals scored / match1.84
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
1.47Goals conceded / match1.05
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
41%Average possession51%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
3.21Shots on target / match6.42
Boston UnitedCarlisle United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.37Shots per match16.42
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
3.21Shots on target6.42
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
12.6%Shot conversion11.2%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
41%Possession51%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
1.18xG for1.98
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
1.56xG against1.41
Boston UnitedCarlisle United

Shooting quality

Boston United: Counter-attackingCarlisle United: Attacking
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
Accuracy (shots on target)38%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Carlisle United is 175% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Boston United · 2.2 pts / match - Carlisle United

Boston United
LWLLD
Season result split
26% W32% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-8
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Carlisle United
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
63% W21% D16% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-3
2.11 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-1-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.94Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carlisle United is 75% better for: goals scored per match.

1.05 goals / match - Boston United · 1.84 goals / match - Carlisle United

Carlisle United is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.47 goals / match - Boston United · 1.05 goals / match - Carlisle United

Boston United scoring profile: mixed

Boston United scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).

Carlisle United scoring profile: very strong

Carlisle United scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Boston United keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).

20Goals scored (season)35
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
28Goals conceded (season)20
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
2.53Average goals in match2.89
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
5Goals scored (last 5)10
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
Boston UnitedCarlisle United

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal89%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
26%2 goals53%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
16%3 goals26%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
0%4 goals11%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal58%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
37%2 goals26%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
16%3 goals11%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
5%4 goals5%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time16%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
16%Scored in both halves26%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
60%BTTS - last 580%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
16%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carlisle United is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.95 pts / match - Boston United · 1.74 pts / match - Carlisle United

Boston United - half-time state
16% leading47% draw37% trailing
Carlisle United - half-time state
47% leading32% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.95Points per match (1st half)1.74
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
0.26Goals scored (1st half)0.74
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
0.79Average goals (1st half)1.21
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
53%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
74%No goal before half-time53%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.89
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)1.11
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
0.95Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
1.74Average goals (2nd half)1.68
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
37%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United
47%No goal after half-time32%
Boston UnitedCarlisle United

Boston United - second-half results

32% W32% D37% L
18
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carlisle United - second-half results

53% W32% D16% L
33
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.74
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Boston United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Carlisle United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.20
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Boston United
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
9
6
46-60
1
3
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Carlisle United
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
6
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
7
5
46-60
5
1
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Boston United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Carlisle United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Boston UnitedLigaCarlisle United
Average goals in match 2.532.78 2.89
Both teams scored 58%53% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%52% 47%
Clean sheets 11%26% 42%
Goal before half-time 63%69% 68%
Goal after half-time 84%81% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Carlisle UnitedYellow cardAaron Edward-George Hayden
  2. Carlisle UnitedGoalHarvey Macadam
  3. Carlisle UnitedYellow cardHarvey Macadam
  4. Boston UnitedYellow cardFrankie Maguire
  5. Boston UnitedYellow cardMatty Carson
  6. Carlisle UnitedGoalHarvey MacadamAssist: Josh Williams
  7. Boston UnitedYellow cardMarcel Lavinier

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Sam MulhallMatches officiated: 8
4.88Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 213%Home wins25%Draws63%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Boston United vs Carlisle United?

The National League match finished Boston United 1:2 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Boston United vs Carlisle United?

Boston United score 1.05 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 1.84. The National League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Boston United's matches and 47% of Carlisle United's.

What form are Boston United and Carlisle United in?

Over the last 5 games Boston United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Carlisle United 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boston United vs Carlisle United?

The statistical background for Boston United vs Carlisle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.