Botafogo SP vs Ceará: match statistics
Botafogo SP vs Ceará: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botafogo SP played Ceará in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 13 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Santa Cruz. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Botafogo SP: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ceará: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botafogo SP scores 1.13 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Ceará scores 1.09 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botafogo SP 53%, Ceará 53%. Over 2.5: Botafogo SP 44%, Ceará 38%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Ceará has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.40. Botafogo SP: 12.8 shots per match, Ceará: 13.8.
Match halves
Botafogo SP: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56. Ceará: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Botafogo SP: 31-45+ (9 goals). Ceará: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Botafogo SP have a clear advantage in this matchup: they average 1.56 goals at home, while Ceará score 0.94 away. The hosts hit the target more often (4.38 shots on target per match compared with 3.75), and their shot conversion rate is 11%, against 7% for the visitors. The quality of chances also favours Botafogo: their home xG is 1.52, while Ceará allow chances worth an average xG of 1.61 away from home. The visitors have failed to score in 38% of their away matches and have won only 19% of them, although they have taken 8 points from their last five matches overall, compared with 7 for the hosts. Ceará’s slight edge in recent form does not offset the difference in both teams’ effectiveness at their respective venues, making a Botafogo SP win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Botafogo SP have seen both teams score in 60% of their matches, while the figure for Ceará is 50%; both rates are above the league average of 47%. Over their last five matches, this scenario occurred in 60% and 80% of games, respectively, reinforcing the signal from the season-long data. The hosts average 1.27 goals per game and the visitors 0.94, while Ceará generate an xG of 1.38 against the average xG of 1.30 conceded by Botafogo SP. The hosts’ chances of scoring are supported by an average xG of 1.66, compared with the 1.61 xG conceded by Ceará. One risk for BTTS - Yes is that Ceará have failed to score in 38% of their matches; however, their recent scoring form—7 goals in 5 matches—edges the outlook towards both teams finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: 87% of matches played by each team finished below this line. Botafogo SP average 1.27 goals scored, while Ceará average 0.94; they also concede 1.13 and 1.38 goals respectively, pointing to moderate scoring potential. The higher xG figures—1.66 for the hosts and 1.38 for the visitors—suggest there could be more chances than the results alone indicate, so I estimate 2.52 goals in total. The 2.5 line is less clear-cut, as it was surpassed in 53% of Botafogo SP's matches but in only 25% of Ceará's. Despite this disparity, both teams' results align at the 3.5 line, making Under 3.5 goals the stronger pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is for Botafogo SP to lead at the break and win the match: the hosts average 0.60 goals in the first half, while Ceará average just 0.13 and have not led at half-time in any of the matches considered. In their last five games, the visitors were trailing at the break four times, while Botafogo SP averaged 1.0 first-half goal. The hosts’ seasonal results also support them maintaining their advantage: they win 47% of their matches, compared with Ceará’s 19%, and their average xG is 1.66 against the visitors’ 1.38. However, this HT/FT pick is not certain, as Ceará have averaged 1.2 goals after half-time in their last five matches, while Botafogo SP have averaged just 0.2, making a draw after the hosts lead at the break a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botafogo SP | Ceará | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ceará is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Botafogo SP · 2.2 pts / match - Ceará
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo SP scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Ceará scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Botafogo SP keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Botafogo SP
Over / Under - Ceará
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Botafogo SP is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Botafogo SP · 0.88 pts / match - Ceará
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botafogo SP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ceará - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botafogo SP
Ceará
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Botafogo SP | Liga | Ceará | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.31 | 2.35 | • 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 47% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 44% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 30% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 68% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Botafogo SP 1 - 0 - 0 Ceará. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Botafogo SP vs Ceará?
The Serie B match finished Botafogo SP 1:0 Ceará. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo SP vs Ceará?
Botafogo SP score 1.13 goals per game on average and Ceará 1.09. The Serie B average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Botafogo SP's matches and 53% of Ceará's.
What form are Botafogo SP and Ceará in?
Over the last 5 games Botafogo SP have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ceará 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo SP vs Ceará?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.