Botafogo SP vs Náutico: match statistics
Botafogo SP vs Náutico: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botafogo SP play Náutico in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Botafogo SP: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Náutico: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botafogo SP scores 1.11 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Náutico scores 1.22 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botafogo SP 50%, Náutico 33%. Over 2.5: Botafogo SP 39%, Náutico 39%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Náutico has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.37. Botafogo SP: 12.3 shots per match, Náutico: 16.6.
Match halves
Botafogo SP: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56. Náutico: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Botafogo SP: 31-45+ (6 goals). Náutico: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Botafogo SP holds an offensive edge at home: they average 2.0 goals per match with an average xG of 1.59 and 4.67 shots on target, while Náutico away averages 1.0 goal per match, xG 1.32 and 2.67 shots on target. The hosts convert their chances better (conversion rate 14% vs 8% for the visitors) and have not had a goalless home game (0% matches without a goal), whereas Náutico failed to score in 33% of their away matches. On the other hand, the visitors show better form over the last 5 matches: 3 wins and an average of 1.8 points per match, while Botafogo has 1 win and 1.0 point per match in that period, which reduces the home advantage. Defensively the situation is similar — Botafogo concedes 1.0 goal on average at home, and Náutico concedes only 0.67 goals away, although the away xG against Náutico is 1.24, suggesting the visitors have so far limited goals more by result than by defensive quality. Considering the higher number of shots on target (4.67 vs 2.67) and the hosts’ superior efficiency (14% vs 8%) and the fact Botafogo rarely fail to score at home, I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botafogo SP | Náutico | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Botafogo SP is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Botafogo SP · 0.2 pts / match - Náutico
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Náutico is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Botafogo SP · 1.22 goals / match - Náutico
Botafogo SP is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Botafogo SP · 1.28 goals / match - Náutico
Botafogo SP scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Náutico scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Botafogo SP keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Botafogo SP
Over / Under — Náutico
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Botafogo SP is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Botafogo SP · 0.83 pts / match - Náutico
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botafogo SP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Náutico - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botafogo SP
Náutico
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Botafogo SP | Liga | Náutico | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 31% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Botafogo SP vs Náutico?
The Serie B match finished Botafogo SP 1:1 Náutico. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo SP vs Náutico?
Botafogo SP score 1.11 goals per game on average and Náutico 1.22. The Serie B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Botafogo SP's matches and 33% of Náutico's.
What form are Botafogo SP and Náutico in?
Over the last 5 games Botafogo SP have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Náutico 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo SP vs Náutico?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Botafogo SP vs Náutico: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.