Botafogo vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Botafogo played Fortaleza in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 4:2.

Current form

Botafogo: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Fortaleza: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Botafogo scores 1.46 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Fortaleza scores 1.11 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.50 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Botafogo 35%, Fortaleza 49%. Over 2.5: Botafogo 41%, Fortaleza 46%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Botafogo has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.37. Botafogo: 14.3 shots per match, Fortaleza: 13.1.

Match halves

Botafogo: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.81. Fortaleza: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.54.

Goals by minute

Botafogo: 76-90+ (15 goals). Fortaleza: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
3 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

71Possession (%)29
BotafogoFortaleza
15Shots8
BotafogoFortaleza
6Shots on target4
BotafogoFortaleza
1.79xG0.99
BotafogoFortaleza
2Corners2
BotafogoFortaleza
58Dangerous attacks27
BotafogoFortaleza
11Fouls10
BotafogoFortaleza
1Cards4
BotafogoFortaleza

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.46Goals scored / match1.11
BotafogoFortaleza
0.97Goals conceded / match1.46
BotafogoFortaleza
51%Average possession45%
BotafogoFortaleza
5.03Shots on target / match4.27
BotafogoFortaleza

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.3Shots per match13.11
BotafogoFortaleza
5.03Shots on target4.27
BotafogoFortaleza
10.2%Shot conversion8.5%
BotafogoFortaleza
51%Possession45%
BotafogoFortaleza
1.53xG for1.37
BotafogoFortaleza
1.28xG against1.52
BotafogoFortaleza

Shooting quality

Botafogo: AttackingFortaleza: Balanced
BotafogoFortaleza
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fortaleza is 44% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Botafogo · 2.6 pts / match - Fortaleza

Botafogo
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
43% W32% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-12-9
1.62 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-5-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Fortaleza
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
30% W27% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-16
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-7-8
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.94BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Botafogo is 32% better for: goals scored per match.

1.46 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.11 goals / match - Fortaleza

Botafogo is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.97 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.46 goals / match - Fortaleza

Botafogo scoring profile: strong

Botafogo scores in 62% of matches (23 of 37 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 27% (10 of 37 matches).

Fortaleza scoring profile: strong

Fortaleza scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 41% (15 of 37 matches).

54Goals scored (season)41
BotafogoFortaleza
36Goals conceded (season)54
BotafogoFortaleza
2.43Average goals in match2.57
BotafogoFortaleza
10Goals scored (last 5)10
BotafogoFortaleza
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
BotafogoFortaleza

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal68%
BotafogoFortaleza
49%2 goals27%
BotafogoFortaleza
24%3 goals11%
BotafogoFortaleza
8%4 goals3%
BotafogoFortaleza

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal73%
BotafogoFortaleza
32%2 goals43%
BotafogoFortaleza
5%3 goals16%
BotafogoFortaleza
0%4 goals8%
BotafogoFortaleza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time14%
BotafogoFortaleza
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BotafogoFortaleza
35%Scored in both halves16%
BotafogoFortaleza

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
BotafogoFortaleza
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
BotafogoFortaleza
80%BTTS - last 560%
BotafogoFortaleza

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
BotafogoFortaleza
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
BotafogoFortaleza
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
BotafogoFortaleza

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
BotafogoFortaleza
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
BotafogoFortaleza
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
BotafogoFortaleza

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Botafogo is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.32 pts / match - Fortaleza

Botafogo - half-time state
35% leading32% draw32% trailing
Fortaleza - half-time state
38% leading19% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.32
BotafogoFortaleza
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.57
BotafogoFortaleza
0.49Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
BotafogoFortaleza
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.24
BotafogoFortaleza
59%Clean sheet before half-time49%
BotafogoFortaleza
57%No goal before half-time51%
BotafogoFortaleza

After half-time (2nd half)

1.65Points per match (2nd half)1.05
BotafogoFortaleza
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)0.54
BotafogoFortaleza
0.49Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
BotafogoFortaleza
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.32
BotafogoFortaleza
65%Clean sheet after half-time46%
BotafogoFortaleza
46%No goal after half-time65%
BotafogoFortaleza

Botafogo - second-half results

43% W35% R22% P
51
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
61
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fortaleza - second-half results

22% W41% R38% P
49
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Botafogo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Fortaleza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Botafogo
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
6
5
16-30
12
6
31-45
10
8
46-60
5
3
61-75
15
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Fortaleza
ScoredConceded
8
10
0-15
6
5
16-30
7
10
31-45
5
9
46-60
9
8
61-75
6
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Botafogo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Fortaleza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BotafogoLigaFortaleza
Average goals in match 2.432.50 2.57
Both teams scored 35%47% 49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%46% 46%
Clean sheets 41%30% 27%
Goal before half-time 70%70% 86%
Goal after half-time 73%75% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. FortalezaYellow cardEros Nazareno Mancuso
  2. FortalezaYellow cardAdam Fernando Bareiro Gamarra
  3. BotafogoGoalÁlvaro Montoro
  4. FortalezaSubstitutionOn: Matheus RossettoOff: Glaybson Yago Souza Lisboa
  5. BotafogoSubstitutionOn: Mateo Ponte CostaOff: Victor Alexander da Silva
  6. FortalezaYellow cardRodrigo Oliveira dos Santos
  7. BotafogoYellow cardKauan Almeida Toledo
  8. FortalezaYellow cardLucas Pacheco Affini

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Paulo Cesar ZanovelliMatches officiated: 16
4.56Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 244%Home wins19%Draws38%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Botafogo 1 - 0 - 0 Fortaleza. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Fortaleza EC
0 : 5
Botafogo FR

FAQ

What was the result of Botafogo vs Fortaleza?

The Serie A match finished Botafogo 4:2 Fortaleza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo vs Fortaleza?

Botafogo score 1.46 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.11. The Serie A average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Botafogo's matches and 49% of Fortaleza's.

What form are Botafogo and Fortaleza in?

Over the last 5 games Botafogo have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Fortaleza 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo vs Fortaleza?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Botafogo vs Fortaleza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.