Botafogo vs Palmeiras: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Botafogo vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botafogo play Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 6 September 2026. Venue: Estádio Nilton Santos.
Current form
Botafogo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Palmeiras: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botafogo scores 1.54 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Palmeiras scores 1.80 and concedes 0.84. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botafogo 71%, Palmeiras 64%. Over 2.5: Botafogo 71%, Palmeiras 56%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Botafogo has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.53. Botafogo: 14.2 shots per match, Palmeiras: 14.0.
Match halves
Botafogo: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88. Palmeiras: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Botafogo: 76-90+ (12 goals). Palmeiras: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botafogo | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palmeiras is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.6 pts / match - Palmeiras
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.54 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.8 goals / match - Palmeiras
Palmeiras is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Botafogo · 0.84 goals / match - Palmeiras
Botafogo scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
Palmeiras scores in 92% of matches (23 of 25 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Botafogo
Over / Under - Palmeiras
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Botafogo · 2 pts / match - Palmeiras
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botafogo
Palmeiras
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Botafogo | Liga | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 2.64 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 23% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Botafogo 0 - 1 - 2 Palmeiras. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
When do Botafogo and Palmeiras play?
Botafogo face Palmeiras on 6 September 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Nilton Santos. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Palmeiras?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 0, Palmeiras won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
Botafogo score 1.54 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.80. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Botafogo's matches and 64% of Palmeiras's.
What form are Botafogo and Palmeiras in?
Over the last 5 games Botafogo have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Palmeiras 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.