Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botafogo played Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 7 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Nilton Santos. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Botafogo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botafogo scores 1.46 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.26 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botafogo 68%, Vasco da Gama 63%. Over 2.5: Botafogo 64%, Vasco da Gama 59%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.55. Botafogo: 14.2 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 18.0.
Match halves
Botafogo: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.86. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Botafogo: 76-90+ (13 goals). Vasco da Gama: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Botafogo have the home advantage: they average 1.71 goals at home, while Vasco da Gama score 1.00 away and lose 54% of their matches. The hosts also average more shots on target per match, 5.71 compared with the visitors’ 4.15, and their home xG stands at 1.78, against Vasco’s 1.58 away from home. Botafogo’s case is further strengthened by their opponents’ away defensive record: Vasco concede an average of 1.77 goals and keep a clean sheet in just 8% of matches. However, recent form tempers confidence in the pick: Vasco have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 2, while Botafogo have won just once, scoring 4 and conceding 8. In addition, the hosts draw 43% of their home matches, making a share of the points a significant alternative.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The seasonal frequency of both teams scoring supports BTTS - Yes: this outcome has landed in 57% of Botafogo’s matches and 69% of Vasco da Gama’s. Botafogo average 2.19 xG, while Vasco average 1.58 xG, so both sides regularly create goal-scoring chances. In addition, the hosts have kept a clean sheet in only 14% of their matches and the visitors in just 8%, boosting the chances of goals at both ends. Recent form tempers this signal: in their last five matches, BTTS landed in 40% of Botafogo’s games and only 20% of Vasco’s, with Vasco conceding an average of just 0.4 goals over that period. Despite the visitors’ defensive improvement, their season average of 1.77 goals conceded and Botafogo’s 1.6 goals conceded in recent matches give a slight edge to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Botafogo matches have featured at least two goals in 79% of cases, compared with 69% for Vasco da Gama, providing a stronger signal for the Over 1.5 goals line than for higher thresholds. Botafogo average 1.5 goals scored and 1.29 conceded, while Vasco score 1.0 and concede 1.77 goals per match. The hosts create chances worth 2.19 xG, but have scored only 0.8 goals per game across their last five matches, so caution is warranted when forecasting a higher total. Over 1.5 goals is the best pick: it does not require both teams to be highly clinical, and the projected total of 2.65 goals supports the line being exceeded.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Vasco were level at the break in 54% of their away matches, while Botafogo averaged just 0.43 goals before half-time. The case for a home win after the break is supported by Botafogo’s average of 1.07 goals in second halves, compared with the 1.15 goals Vasco conceded during that period. Across the season, Botafogo won 50% of their home matches, while Vasco won just 8% of their away games; the hosts also hold the edge in average xG, at 2.19 to 1.58. The risk to this HT/FT selection comes from the last five matches: Vasco won three, while Botafogo won just one, so outcomes ending in an away win also account for a significant share of the forecast.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botafogo | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vasco da Gama is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.8 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.26 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.52 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Botafogo scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 matches).
Vasco da Gama scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Botafogo
Over / Under - Vasco da Gama
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Botafogo is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Botafogo · 0.93 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botafogo
Vasco da Gama
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Botafogo | Liga | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.07 | 2.66 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 23% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Botafogo 3 - 0 - 0 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?
The Serie A match finished Botafogo 1:2 Vasco da Gama. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Vasco da Gama?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 3, Vasco da Gama won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?
Botafogo score 1.46 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.26. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Botafogo's matches and 63% of Vasco da Gama's.
What form are Botafogo and Vasco da Gama in?
Over the last 5 games Botafogo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.