Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia: match statistics
Botev Plovdiv holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. Septemvri Sofia presents very poor away form with a staggering 64% loss rate and a goal difference of -17 on the road, conceding an average of 2.36 goals per match. The visitors have won just 18% of their away matches, which bodes poorly given their low efficiency (0.82 goals per match) and weak xG (1.11). Although Botev Plovdiv is also going through a difficult period, their home statistics are much more promising than Septemvri's away records. Additionally, the hosts have a better xG ratio (1.57 to 1.61), while the visitors are clearly weaker offensively and defensively in away games. Considering all these factors, Botev Plovdiv should exploit the home field advantage and secure three points.
Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botev Plovdiv played Septemvri Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Botev Plovdiv: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Septemvri Sofia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botev Plovdiv scores 1.17 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Septemvri Sofia scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botev Plovdiv 61%, Septemvri Sofia 50%. Over 2.5: Botev Plovdiv 65%, Septemvri Sofia 59%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Botev Plovdiv has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.16. Botev Plovdiv: 11.0 shots per match, Septemvri Sofia: 9.1.
Match halves
Botev Plovdiv: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.61. Septemvri Sofia: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Botev Plovdiv: 0-15 (7 goals). Septemvri Sofia: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Botev Plovdiv holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. Septemvri Sofia presents very poor away form with a staggering 64% loss rate and a goal difference of -17 on the road, conceding an average of 2.36 goals per match. The visitors have won just 18% of their away matches, which bodes poorly given their low efficiency (0.82 goals per match) and weak xG (1.11). Although Botev Plovdiv is also going through a difficult period, their home statistics are much more promising than Septemvri's away records. Additionally, the hosts have a better xG ratio (1.57 to 1.61), while the visitors are clearly weaker offensively and defensively in away games. Considering all these factors, Botev Plovdiv should exploit the home field advantage and secure three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botev Plovdiv | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Septemvri Sofia is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Botev Plovdiv · 1.4 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botev Plovdiv is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Botev Plovdiv · 1 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia
Botev Plovdiv is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Botev Plovdiv · 2 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia
Botev Plovdiv scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Septemvri Sofia scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Botev Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Botev Plovdiv
Over / Under - Septemvri Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botev Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botev Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Botev Plovdiv | Liga | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.61 | 2.34 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 45% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 34% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Botev Plovdiv 1 - 0 - 0 Septemvri Sofia. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
The First League match finished Botev Plovdiv 2:0 Septemvri Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Botev Plovdiv score 1.17 goals per game on average and Septemvri Sofia 1.00. The First League average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Botev Plovdiv's matches and 50% of Septemvri Sofia's.
What form are Botev Plovdiv and Septemvri Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Botev Plovdiv have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Septemvri Sofia 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
The statistical background for Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.