Botev Vratsa vs Arda: match statistics
Arda displays significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.2 points per game compared to just 0.6 points for Botev Vratsa. The hosts have not won any of their last five meetings and have very poor effectiveness in attack – barely 2 goals in this period and 58% of matches without scoring at home. Arda possesses better offensive statistics, with an average of 1.17 goals per away match and higher shot conversion (13% vs 6%). The visitors' positive goal difference (+2) in away matches and 50% clean sheets testify to defensive solidity. Considering the advantage in possession (52% vs 46%) and Arda's better disposition, I expect a victory for the visitors, although Botev Vratsa's home form with 50% draws makes a split of points also realistic.
Botev Vratsa vs Arda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botev Vratsa play Arda in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Botev Vratsa: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Arda: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botev Vratsa scores 0.97 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Arda scores 1.17 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botev Vratsa 38%, Arda 28%. Over 2.5: Botev Vratsa 32%, Arda 36%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Arda has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.24. Botev Vratsa: 9.5 shots per match, Arda: 10.9.
Match halves
Botev Vratsa: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.57. Arda: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Botev Vratsa: 76-90+ (10 goals). Arda: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Arda displays significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.2 points per game compared to just 0.6 points for Botev Vratsa. The hosts have not won any of their last five meetings and have very poor effectiveness in attack – barely 2 goals in this period and 58% of matches without scoring at home. Arda possesses better offensive statistics, with an average of 1.17 goals per away match and higher shot conversion (13% vs 6%). The visitors' positive goal difference (+2) in away matches and 50% clean sheets testify to defensive solidity. Considering the advantage in possession (52% vs 46%) and Arda's better disposition, I expect a victory for the visitors, although Botev Vratsa's home form with 50% draws makes a split of points also realistic.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botev Vratsa | Arda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Botev Vratsa is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Botev Vratsa · 2 pts / match - Arda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arda is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Botev Vratsa · 1.17 goals / match - Arda
Botev Vratsa is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Botev Vratsa · 0.94 goals / match - Arda
Botev Vratsa scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
Arda scores in 53% of matches (19 of 36 matches), while Botev Vratsa keeps a clean sheet in 43% (16 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Botev Vratsa
Over / Under — Arda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botev Vratsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botev Vratsa
Arda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Botev Vratsa | Liga | Arda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.84 | 2.30 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 43% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 43% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 35% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 35% | 63% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Botev Vratsa 1 - 0 - 0 Arda. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Botev Vratsa vs Arda?
The First League match finished Botev Vratsa 1:0 Arda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Botev Vratsa vs Arda?
Botev Vratsa score 0.97 goals per game on average and Arda 1.17. The First League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Botev Vratsa's matches and 28% of Arda's.
What form are Botev Vratsa and Arda in?
Over the last 5 games Botev Vratsa have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Arda 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botev Vratsa vs Arda?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Botev Vratsa vs Arda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.