Boulogne vs Rodez: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a very tight encounter between two mid-table Ligue 2 teams. Boulogne displays poor home form with 60% losses and a goal difference of -7, though their last five matches overall show improvement with 1.4 points per match. Rodez is on a good run, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches (1.8 PPG), but their away statistics are mixed - 30% wins, 30% draws, and 40% losses. A key factor is the visitors' advantage in offensive efficiency away from home (1.4 goals/match vs 1.2 for the hosts) and better form in recent weeks. However, Rodez's high draw percentage (30% away, 43% overall in the season) and the balanced xG indicators of both teams suggest that a split of points is the most probable result, although a slight edge in form and offensive quality gives Rodez minimal chances for a triumph.
Boulogne vs Rodez: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Boulogne played Rodez in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Boulogne: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Rodez: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Boulogne scores 1.05 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Rodez scores 1.24 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Boulogne 52%, Rodez 71%. Over 2.5: Boulogne 48%, Rodez 48%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Boulogne has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.27. Boulogne: 11.8 shots per match, Rodez: 11.1.
Match halves
Boulogne: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.76. Rodez: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Boulogne: 61-75 (7 goals). Rodez: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a very tight encounter between two mid-table Ligue 2 teams. Boulogne displays poor home form with 60% losses and a goal difference of -7, though their last five matches overall show improvement with 1.4 points per match. Rodez is on a good run, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches (1.8 PPG), but their away statistics are mixed - 30% wins, 30% draws, and 40% losses. A key factor is the visitors' advantage in offensive efficiency away from home (1.4 goals/match vs 1.2 for the hosts) and better form in recent weeks. However, Rodez's high draw percentage (30% away, 43% overall in the season) and the balanced xG indicators of both teams suggest that a split of points is the most probable result, although a slight edge in form and offensive quality gives Rodez minimal chances for a triumph.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Boulogne | Rodez | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rodez is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Boulogne · 1.8 pts / match - Rodez
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rodez is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Boulogne · 1.24 goals / match - Rodez
Rodez is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Boulogne · 1.38 goals / match - Rodez
Boulogne scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Rodez keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Rodez scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Boulogne keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Boulogne
Over / Under - Rodez
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rodez is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Boulogne · 1.29 pts / match - Rodez
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Boulogne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rodez - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Boulogne
Rodez
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Boulogne | Liga | Rodez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.52 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 47% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 29% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Boulogne 0 - 0 - 1 Rodez. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Boulogne vs Rodez?
The Ligue 2 match finished Boulogne 1:2 Rodez. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Boulogne vs Rodez?
Boulogne score 1.05 goals per game on average and Rodez 1.24. The Ligue 2 average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Boulogne's matches and 71% of Rodez's.
What form are Boulogne and Rodez in?
Over the last 5 games Boulogne have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rodez 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boulogne vs Rodez?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.