Bourg-en-Bresse vs Bastia: match statistics
Bourg-en-Bresse vs Bastia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bourg-en-Bresse played Bastia in National (France). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Stade Marcel-Verchère. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Bourg-en-Bresse: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Bastia: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bourg-en-Bresse scores 0.60 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Bastia scores 0.80 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bourg-en-Bresse 20%, Bastia 20%. Over 2.5: Bourg-en-Bresse 20%, Bastia 40%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Bourg-en-Bresse has higher xG: 1.37 vs 0.91. Bourg-en-Bresse: 11.2 shots per match, Bastia: 9.6.
Match halves
Bourg-en-Bresse: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Bastia: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Bourg-en-Bresse: 31-45+ (1 goals). Bastia: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bastia hold the edge in away form: they have won both of their matches on the road so far, kept clean sheets in each, and averaged 1 goal per game. Bourg-en-Bresse have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring just 3 goals during that run, while conceding 10 goals across 5 matches this season. At home, the hosts concede an average of 2 goals, have kept no clean sheets, and have failed to score in 67% of such matches. Although Bourg-en-Bresse create chances worth an average xG of 1.47 at home, Bastia allow opponents an xG of 1.42 and have so far maintained a perfect defensive record away from home. The visitors take fewer shots, but their conversion rate stands at 18% compared with 8% for the hosts, which, combined with Bourg-en-Bresse’s defensive weaknesses, points to a Bastia victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as Bastia have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their away matches to date, while Bourg-en-Bresse have failed to score in 67% of their home fixtures. The hosts average just 0.67 goals at home, combined with a very low shot conversion rate of 5%, which limits their chances of breaking through the visitors' defense. In their last five matches, BTTS landed in only 20% of cases for both teams, with average goal tallies of 0.6 and 0.8 respectively. Bastia do average 1.0 goals away from home, but Bourg-en-Bresse concede as many as 2.67 goals per match there, making a scenario in which only one team scores more likely. Additionally, the league-wide BTTS rate is just 36%, further supporting the prediction that at least one of the teams will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Bourg-en-Bresse scores just 0.67 goals per home game, while its average goals tally over the last five matches is only 0.6. Bastia have yet to concede away from home and have kept a clean sheet in 100% of such matches, significantly limiting the hosts’ attacking potential. The visitors score an average of 1.0 goal away from home, but their xG over the last five matches stands at just 0.41, making a very high-scoring game unlikely. Furthermore, both teams recorded fewer than 2.5 goals in 80% and 60% of their respective last five matches, with both teams scoring in just 20% of those games. Even considering Bourg-en-Bresse’s weak defensive record, having conceded an average of 2.0 goals across their last five outings, the most consistent selection remains Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Bastia presents a very strong away signal: they have won 100% of their matches so far, averaging 1.00 goal scored and conceding none. The visitors were leading at the break in 2 of their 2 away matches, scoring an average of 1.00 goal before half-time, while Bourg-en-Bresse were trailing at half-time in all 3 of their home fixtures, conceding 1.67 goals per match during that period. The hosts score only 0.67 goals per home game, and despite averaging 4.33 shots on target, their conversion rate is just 5%, compared with Bastia’s 18%. After the break, Bastia have yet to concede away from home, while Bourg-en-Bresse ultimately lost all 3 of their home matches. Therefore, the most likely scenario is for the visitors to lead at half-time and secure the win: HT/FT 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bourg-en-Bresse | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bastia is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bourg-en-Bresse · 1.2 pts / match - Bastia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bastia is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
0.6 goals / match - Bourg-en-Bresse · 0.8 goals / match - Bastia
Bastia is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Bourg-en-Bresse · 1.6 goals / match - Bastia
Bourg-en-Bresse scores in 20% of matches (1 of 5 matches), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Bastia scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Bourg-en-Bresse keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bourg-en-Bresse
Over / Under - Bastia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bastia is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.6 pts / match - Bourg-en-Bresse · 1.2 pts / match - Bastia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bourg-en-Bresse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bourg-en-Bresse
Bastia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Bourg-en-Bresse | Liga | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 35% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 33% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Bourg-en-Bresse vs Bastia?
The National match finished Bourg-en-Bresse 0:1 Bastia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bourg-en-Bresse vs Bastia?
Bourg-en-Bresse score 0.60 goals per game on average and Bastia 0.80. The National average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Bourg-en-Bresse's matches and 20% of Bastia's.
What form are Bourg-en-Bresse and Bastia in?
Over the last 5 games Bourg-en-Bresse have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Bastia 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bourg-en-Bresse vs Bastia?
The statistical background for Bourg-en-Bresse vs Bastia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.