Bourj vs Al Ahed: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bourj played Al Ahed in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match was played on 25 December 2025. Final score: 1:4.

Current form

Bourj: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Al Ahed: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bourj scores 0.67 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Al Ahed scores 1.70 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.24 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bourj 22%, Al Ahed 30%. Over 2.5: Bourj 44%, Al Ahed 60%. League level: BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 41%.

xG, shots and style

Al Ahed has higher xG: 1.32 vs 0.93. Bourj: 4.3 shots per match, Al Ahed: 9.4.

Match halves

Bourj: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.33. Al Ahed: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Bourj: 31-45+ (2 goals). Al Ahed: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Lebanese Premier League: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 41%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

36Possession (%)64
BourjAl Ahed
4Shots14
BourjAl Ahed
3Shots on target9
BourjAl Ahed
0.68xG2.03
BourjAl Ahed
0Corners5
BourjAl Ahed
29Dangerous attacks74
BourjAl Ahed
-1Fouls-1
BourjAl Ahed
-1Cards-1
BourjAl Ahed

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.67Goals scored / match1.7
BourjAl Ahed
1.33Goals conceded / match1.2
BourjAl Ahed
39%Average possession56%
BourjAl Ahed
1.78Shots on target / match4.6
BourjAl Ahed

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

4.33Shots per match9.4
BourjAl Ahed
1.78Shots on target4.6
BourjAl Ahed
15.4%Shot conversion18.1%
BourjAl Ahed
39%Possession56%
BourjAl Ahed
0.93xG for1.32
BourjAl Ahed
0.94xG against0.99
BourjAl Ahed

Shooting quality

Bourj: Counter-attackingAl Ahed: Efficient finishing
BourjAl Ahed
Accuracy (shots on target)41%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.210.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bourj
LLLWW
Season result split
33% W11% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-5
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 0.84BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Al Ahed
LWLWL
Season result split
70% W0% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-0-3
2.10 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Ahed is 154% better for: goals scored per match.

0.67 goals / match - Bourj · 1.7 goals / match - Al Ahed

Al Ahed is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Bourj · 1.2 goals / match - Al Ahed

Bourj scoring profile: more difficult

Bourj scores in 33% of matches (3 of 9 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 matches).

Al Ahed scoring profile: very strong

Al Ahed scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Bourj keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

6Goals scored (season)17
BourjAl Ahed
12Goals conceded (season)12
BourjAl Ahed
2Average goals in match2.9
BourjAl Ahed
3Goals scored (last 5)6
BourjAl Ahed
5Goals conceded (last 5)12
BourjAl Ahed

How often they score at least...

33%1 goal90%
BourjAl Ahed
22%2 goals50%
BourjAl Ahed
11%3 goals30%
BourjAl Ahed
0%4 goals0%
BourjAl Ahed

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal40%
BourjAl Ahed
33%2 goals30%
BourjAl Ahed
22%3 goals20%
BourjAl Ahed
0%4 goals20%
BourjAl Ahed

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time20%
BourjAl Ahed
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BourjAl Ahed
22%Scored in both halves40%
BourjAl Ahed

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
BourjAl Ahed
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS30%
BourjAl Ahed
20%BTTS - last 560%
BourjAl Ahed

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

44%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
BourjAl Ahed
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
BourjAl Ahed
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
BourjAl Ahed

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
BourjAl Ahed
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
BourjAl Ahed
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
BourjAl Ahed

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Ahed is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.22 pts / match - Bourj · 1.8 pts / match - Al Ahed

Bourj - half-time state
22% leading56% draw22% trailing
Al Ahed - half-time state
50% leading30% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per match (1st half)1.8
BourjAl Ahed
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.9
BourjAl Ahed
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
BourjAl Ahed
0.78Average goals (1st half)1.5
BourjAl Ahed
67%Clean sheet before half-time60%
BourjAl Ahed
78%No goal before half-time40%
BourjAl Ahed

After half-time (2nd half)

0.89Points per match (2nd half)1.9
BourjAl Ahed
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
BourjAl Ahed
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
BourjAl Ahed
1.22Average goals (2nd half)1.4
BourjAl Ahed
33%Clean sheet after half-time70%
BourjAl Ahed
67%No goal after half-time30%
BourjAl Ahed

Bourj - second-half results

22% W22% R56% P
11
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Al Ahed - second-half results

60% W10% R30% P
18
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bourj - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.41.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Al Ahed - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.21.2
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bourj
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Al Ahed
ScoredConceded
5
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
4
0
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
26%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bourj

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Al Ahed

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).

Teams vs league

BourjLigaAl Ahed
Average goals in match 2.002.24 2.90
Both teams scored 22%31% 30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%41% 60%
Clean sheets 22%42% 60%
Goal before half-time 44%55% 80%
Goal after half-time 89%74% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.24
Average goals per match
31%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
42%
Clean sheets
1.07
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+-9%
Home attack advantage
+-9%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Other recorded players

Ali Al Haj⚽ 1 · A 1
Hasan Farhat⚽ 1
Jerome Mpasko Etame⚽ 1
Mahmoub Zbib⚽ 1 · A 1
Mohamad HaidarA 1

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Al AhedGoalHasan FarhatAssist: Mohamad Haidar
  2. Al AhedGoalAli Al HajAssist: Mahmoub Zbib
  3. Al AhedGoalMahmoub ZbibAssist: Ali Al Haj

FAQ

What was the result of Bourj vs Al Ahed?

The Lebanese Premier League match finished Bourj 1:4 Al Ahed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bourj vs Al Ahed?

Bourj score 0.67 goals per game on average and Al Ahed 1.70. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Bourj's matches and 30% of Al Ahed's.

What form are Bourj and Al Ahed in?

Over the last 5 games Bourj have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Al Ahed 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bourj vs Al Ahed?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bourj vs Al Ahed: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.