Bourj vs Al Ahed: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bourj play Al Ahed in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match date is 25 December 2025 at 13:15. Final score: 1:4.

Current form

Bourj: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Al Ahed: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bourj scores 0.73 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Al Ahed scores 1.54 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bourj 36%, Al Ahed 38%. Over 2.5: Bourj 55%, Al Ahed 50%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Al Ahed has higher xG: 1.32 vs 0.95. Bourj: 4.7 shots per match, Al Ahed: 9.4.

Match halves

Bourj: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.45. Al Ahed: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

Bourj: 31-45+ (2 goals). Al Ahed: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Lebanese Premier League: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

36Possession (%)64
BourjAl Ahed
4Shots14
BourjAl Ahed
3Shots on target9
BourjAl Ahed
0.68xG2.03
BourjAl Ahed
0Corners5
BourjAl Ahed
29Dangerous attacks74
BourjAl Ahed
-1Fouls-1
BourjAl Ahed
-1Cards-1
BourjAl Ahed

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.73Goals scored / match1.54
BourjAl Ahed
1.82Goals conceded / match1.23
BourjAl Ahed
39%Average possession52%
BourjAl Ahed
2.18Shots on target / match4.42
BourjAl Ahed

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

4.73Shots per match9.42
BourjAl Ahed
2.18Shots on target4.42
BourjAl Ahed
15.4%Shot conversion16.3%
BourjAl Ahed
39%Possession52%
BourjAl Ahed
0.95xG for1.32
BourjAl Ahed
1.26xG against1.07
BourjAl Ahed

Shooting quality

Bourj: Counter-attackingAl Ahed: Efficient finishing
BourjAl Ahed
Accuracy (shots on target)46%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.200.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Ahed is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Bourj · 1.4 pts / match - Al Ahed

Bourj
LWWLL
Season result split
27% W9% R64% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-7
0.91 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.93Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Al Ahed
WWDLL
Season result split
54% W8% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-2-10
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-1-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Ahed is 111% better for: goals scored per match.

0.73 goals / match - Bourj · 1.54 goals / match - Al Ahed

Al Ahed is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.82 goals / match - Bourj · 1.23 goals / match - Al Ahed

Bourj scoring profile: mixed

Bourj scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).

Al Ahed scoring profile: very strong

Al Ahed scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Bourj keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

8Goals scored (season)40
BourjAl Ahed
20Goals conceded (season)32
BourjAl Ahed
2.55Average goals in match2.77
BourjAl Ahed
5Goals scored (last 5)11
BourjAl Ahed
10Goals conceded (last 5)10
BourjAl Ahed

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal73%
BourjAl Ahed
18%2 goals42%
BourjAl Ahed
9%3 goals27%
BourjAl Ahed
0%4 goals12%
BourjAl Ahed

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal62%
BourjAl Ahed
45%2 goals35%
BourjAl Ahed
36%3 goals15%
BourjAl Ahed
18%4 goals8%
BourjAl Ahed

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time15%
BourjAl Ahed
0%BTTS in both halves4%
BourjAl Ahed
18%Scored in both halves35%
BourjAl Ahed

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
BourjAl Ahed
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
BourjAl Ahed
60%BTTS - last 560%
BourjAl Ahed

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
BourjAl Ahed
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
BourjAl Ahed
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
BourjAl Ahed

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
BourjAl Ahed
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
BourjAl Ahed
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
BourjAl Ahed

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Ahed is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Bourj · 1.5 pts / match - Al Ahed

Bourj - half-time state
18% leading45% draw36% trailing
Al Ahed - half-time state
38% leading35% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.5
BourjAl Ahed
0.27Goals scored (1st half)0.69
BourjAl Ahed
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
BourjAl Ahed
0.91Average goals (1st half)1.27
BourjAl Ahed
55%Clean sheet before half-time62%
BourjAl Ahed
82%No goal before half-time54%
BourjAl Ahed

After half-time (2nd half)

0.73Points per match (2nd half)1.58
BourjAl Ahed
0.45Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
BourjAl Ahed
1.18Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
BourjAl Ahed
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.5
BourjAl Ahed
27%Clean sheet after half-time50%
BourjAl Ahed
55%No goal after half-time38%
BourjAl Ahed

Bourj - second-half results

18% W18% R64% P
11
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Al Ahed - second-half results

46% W19% R35% P
39
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bourj - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Al Ahed - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match2.22.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bourj
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Al Ahed
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
4
6
16-30
6
6
31-45
7
4
46-60
9
7
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.66
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
37%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bourj

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
165%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Al Ahed

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).

Teams vs league

BourjLigaAl Ahed
Average goals in match 2.552.44 2.77
Both teams scored 36%33% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%43% 50%
Clean sheets 18%39% 38%
Goal before half-time 55%57% 69%
Goal after half-time 91%77% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
33%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Bourj vs Al Ahed?

The Lebanese Premier League match finished Bourj 1:4 Al Ahed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bourj vs Al Ahed?

Bourj score 0.73 goals per game on average and Al Ahed 1.54. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Bourj's matches and 38% of Al Ahed's.

What form are Bourj and Al Ahed in?

Over the last 5 games Bourj have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Al Ahed 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bourj vs Al Ahed?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bourj vs Al Ahed: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.