Boyacá Chicó vs Llaneros: match statistics
Boyacá Chicó vs Llaneros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Boyacá Chicó played Llaneros in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Boyacá Chicó: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Llaneros: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Boyacá Chicó scores 0.67 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Llaneros scores 0.94 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Boyacá Chicó 22%, Llaneros 50%. Over 2.5: Boyacá Chicó 44%, Llaneros 17%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Llaneros has higher xG: 1.13 vs 1.00. Boyacá Chicó: 9.7 shots per match, Llaneros: 10.2.
Match halves
Boyacá Chicó: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.28. Llaneros: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Boyacá Chicó: 31-45+ (3 goals). Llaneros: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites are the hosts: Boyacá Chicó score on average 1.25 goals at home and concede only 0.63 per match, while Llaneros away record is 0.78 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. The home side also generates better chances — average xG for the hosts is 1.17 versus 1.09 for the visitors, xG against 1.05 vs 1.63, plus 3.75 shots on target per game vs 3.11 and a higher conversion rate (11% vs 8%). Season-long figures, however, reveal a weakness for the hosts overall (12 goals scored and 32 conceded) while Llaneros sit at a 17–17 record and 44% clean sheets away, which increases the likelihood of a draw. Over the last 5 matches both teams average 1.2 points per game, but form differs: hosts 2 wins and 3 losses (W L W L L), guests 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss (D W D D L). Considering the home advantage in efficiency, possession (52% vs 41%) and quality of chances, I back Boyacá Chicó to win, with a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis points to a "No" scenario for BTTS, as the home side have 0% BTTS in their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 0.4 goals and conceding 2.2 goals per game. The away side over the same period have 40% BTTS, concede on average 0.8 goals, and have kept a clean sheet in 44% of matches this season, whereas the home side have only 22% clean sheets. Although season-long data shows the home team with 67% of matches with both teams scoring and similar xG figures (home 1.17 vs away 1.09), current form offsets those historical values. Additionally, the home side register 3.33 shots on target with an 11% conversion compared to 3.11 and 8% for the visitors, but the low finishing and lack of goals in the last five fixtures weaken the case for BTTS - Yes. Considering the home side's 0% BTTS in the last 5 matches, the visitors' 44% clean sheets and the average goals conceded 2.2 vs 0.8, I assess BTTS 'No' probability at 65% and 'Yes' at 35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: the home team have xG_for 1.17, the away team xG_for 1.09, while the away side concedes on average xG_against 1.63, leading to estimated 1.40 goals for Boyacá Chicó and 1.09 for Llaneros (total 2.49). A Poisson model for a 2.49 total yields roughly a 71% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~45% for at least 3 (Over 2.5) and ~24% for at least 4 (Over 3.5). Seasonal figures confirm a tendency toward totals above 1.5: the home side had 78% of matches >1.5, the away side 67%, while the rate above 2.5 is low (22% home, 11% away). Additionally, the hosts average 10.44 shots with an 11% conversion and 3.33 shots on target versus the visitors' 9.89 shots and 8% conversion, which supports the home advantage in chance creation and increases the likelihood of at least 2 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X). HT data show a clear trend toward draws: home teams were drawing at the break in 67% of matches (drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 67.0), away teams in 56% (drawingAtHTPercentage_away = 56.0), while home sides led at the break in only 22% of cases (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 22.0). Full-time results also favor a draw — the seasonal draw rate for home teams is 78% (drawPercentage_home = 78.0) and scoring averages are low and similar: 1.11 for home versus 0.78 for away (seasonScoredAVG_home = 1.11 vs seasonScoredAVG_away = 0.78) with xG 1.17 vs 1.09. Additionally, homes score on average 0.67 goals by half-time, away teams only 0.11 (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.67 vs scoredAVGHT_away = 0.11), and clean sheets occur in 22% for homes and 44% for aways, indicating low-scoring draws (e.g. 0:0 or 1:1). Consequently X/X received the highest probability (52%), with alternative scenarios being draw at half-time with a home win (X/1 = 7%) or a home lead at half-time that ends as a draw (1/X = 15%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Boyacá Chicó | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Llaneros is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Boyacá Chicó · 0.94 goals / match - Llaneros
Llaneros is 89% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Boyacá Chicó · 0.94 goals / match - Llaneros
Boyacá Chicó scores in 39% of matches (7 of 18 matches), while Llaneros keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Llaneros scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Boyacá Chicó keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Boyacá Chicó
Over / Under - Llaneros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Llaneros is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Boyacá Chicó · 1.11 pts / match - Llaneros
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Boyacá Chicó - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Llaneros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Boyacá Chicó
Llaneros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Boyacá Chicó | Liga | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.44 | 2.49 | ▼ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 47% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Boyacá Chicó 0 - 1 - 1 Llaneros. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Boyacá Chicó vs Llaneros?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Boyacá Chicó 3:0 Llaneros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Boyacá Chicó and Llaneros?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Boyacá Chicó won 0, Llaneros won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Boyacá Chicó vs Llaneros?
Boyacá Chicó score 0.67 goals per game on average and Llaneros 0.94. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Boyacá Chicó's matches and 50% of Llaneros's.
What form are Boyacá Chicó and Llaneros in?
Over the last 5 games Boyacá Chicó have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Llaneros 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boyacá Chicó vs Llaneros?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.