Bra vs Ascoli: match statistics
Ascoli is clearly displaying superior form and quality this season. The visitors boast an impressive record of 13 wins against just 4 defeats, along with a positive goal difference of 40:17, which speaks to a solid performance in both attack and defense. In away matches, Ascoli wins 45% of their games with 45% clean sheets, confirming their effectiveness on the road. Bra, however, has an average record of 5-10-10 and a negative goal difference for the entire season (27:35), indicating issues both in attack and defense. Ascoli's advantage in possession (64% vs 46%), higher average xG (1.51 vs 1.13), and better form in the last five matches (2.0 vs 1.6 points per game) further support the away side. Considering all statistics, Ascoli has a realistic chance of securing all three points, although Bra can spring a surprise at home, as reflected by their 38% win rate in home matches.
Bra vs Ascoli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bra played Ascoli in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Bra: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ascoli: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bra scores 1.08 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Ascoli scores 1.60 and concedes 0.68. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bra 68%, Ascoli 36%. Over 2.5: Bra 44%, Ascoli 40%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Ascoli has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.03. Bra: 8.4 shots per match, Ascoli: 13.0.
Match halves
Bra: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.60. Ascoli: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Bra: 31-45+ (7 goals). Ascoli: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ascoli is clearly displaying superior form and quality this season. The visitors boast an impressive record of 13 wins against just 4 defeats, along with a positive goal difference of 40:17, which speaks to a solid performance in both attack and defense. In away matches, Ascoli wins 45% of their games with 45% clean sheets, confirming their effectiveness on the road. Bra, however, has an average record of 5-10-10 and a negative goal difference for the entire season (27:35), indicating issues both in attack and defense. Ascoli's advantage in possession (64% vs 46%), higher average xG (1.51 vs 1.13), and better form in the last five matches (2.0 vs 1.6 points per game) further support the away side. Considering all statistics, Ascoli has a realistic chance of securing all three points, although Bra can spring a surprise at home, as reflected by their 38% win rate in home matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bra | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ascoli is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Bra · 2 pts / match - Ascoli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ascoli is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Bra · 1.6 goals / match - Ascoli
Ascoli is 106% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Bra · 0.68 goals / match - Ascoli
Bra scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 52% (13 of 25 matches).
Ascoli scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Bra keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bra
Over / Under - Ascoli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ascoli is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Bra · 1.72 pts / match - Ascoli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bra
Ascoli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Bra | Liga | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.48 | 2.26 | • 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 48% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 37% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 31% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bra 0 - 0 - 1 Ascoli. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bra vs Ascoli?
The Serie C Group B match finished Bra 1:3 Ascoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bra vs Ascoli?
Bra score 1.08 goals per game on average and Ascoli 1.60. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Bra's matches and 36% of Ascoli's.
What form are Bra and Ascoli in?
Over the last 5 games Bra have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ascoli 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bra vs Ascoli?
The statistical background for Bra vs Ascoli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.