Italy - Serie C Group BData current as of 23 July 2026

Bra vs Ascoli: match statistics

Bra crest
Bra
1 : 3half-time 1:0
Ascoli crest
Ascoli
125%(4.50)
X30%(3.30)
245%(1.75)

Ascoli is clearly displaying superior form and quality this season. The visitors boast an impressive record of 13 wins against just 4 defeats, along with a positive goal difference of 40:17, which speaks to a solid performance in both attack and defense. In away matches, Ascoli wins 45% of their games with 45% clean sheets, confirming their effectiveness on the road. Bra, however, has an average record of 5-10-10 and a negative goal difference for the entire season (27:35), indicating issues both in attack and defense. Ascoli's advantage in possession (64% vs 46%), higher average xG (1.51 vs 1.13), and better form in the last five matches (2.0 vs 1.6 points per game) further support the away side. Considering all statistics, Ascoli has a realistic chance of securing all three points, although Bra can spring a surprise at home, as reflected by their 38% win rate in home matches.

Bra vs Ascoli: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bra play Ascoli in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 15 February 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Bra: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ascoli: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bra scores 1.03 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Ascoli scores 1.75 and concedes 0.64. League average: 2.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bra 69%, Ascoli 39%. Over 2.5: Bra 53%, Ascoli 47%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Ascoli has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.01. Bra: 8.3 shots per match, Ascoli: 13.7.

Match halves

Bra: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.58. Ascoli: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.94.

Goals by minute

Bra: 76-90+ (10 goals). Ascoli: 31-45+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Ascoli is clearly displaying superior form and quality this season. The visitors boast an impressive record of 13 wins against just 4 defeats, along with a positive goal difference of 40:17, which speaks to a solid performance in both attack and defense. In away matches, Ascoli wins 45% of their games with 45% clean sheets, confirming their effectiveness on the road. Bra, however, has an average record of 5-10-10 and a negative goal difference for the entire season (27:35), indicating issues both in attack and defense. Ascoli's advantage in possession (64% vs 46%), higher average xG (1.51 vs 1.13), and better form in the last five matches (2.0 vs 1.6 points per game) further support the away side. Considering all statistics, Ascoli has a realistic chance of securing all three points, although Bra can spring a surprise at home, as reflected by their 38% win rate in home matches.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

27Possession (%)73
BraAscoli
5Shots23
BraAscoli
4Shots on target9
BraAscoli
0.75xG2.52
BraAscoli
5Corners9
BraAscoli
20Dangerous attacks62
BraAscoli
6Fouls12
BraAscoli
0Cards1
BraAscoli

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.03Goals scored / match1.75
BraAscoli
1.5Goals conceded / match0.64
BraAscoli
43%Average possession66%
BraAscoli
2.61Shots on target / match5.08
BraAscoli

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.31Shots per match13.67
BraAscoli
2.61Shots on target5.08
BraAscoli
12.4%Shot conversion12.8%
BraAscoli
43%Possession66%
BraAscoli
1.01xG for1.69
BraAscoli
1.66xG against1.09
BraAscoli

Shooting quality

Bra: Counter-attackingAscoli: Balanced
BraAscoli
Accuracy (shots on target)31%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ascoli is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Bra · 2.4 pts / match - Ascoli

Bra
DWDLD
Season result split
17% W39% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-14-16
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-6
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.92Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Ascoli
WWWWL
Season result split
64% W22% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-8-5
2.14 pts / match · goal difference +40
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-3-4
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.01Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ascoli is 70% better for: goals scored per match.

1.03 goals / match - Bra · 1.75 goals / match - Ascoli

Ascoli is 134% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Bra · 0.64 goals / match - Ascoli

Bra scoring profile: strong

Bra scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).

Ascoli scoring profile: very strong

Ascoli scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Bra keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).

37Goals scored (season)63
BraAscoli
54Goals conceded (season)23
BraAscoli
2.53Average goals in match2.39
BraAscoli
5Goals scored (last 5)8
BraAscoli
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
BraAscoli

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal78%
BraAscoli
25%2 goals56%
BraAscoli
0%3 goals33%
BraAscoli
0%4 goals6%
BraAscoli

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal50%
BraAscoli
47%2 goals8%
BraAscoli
14%3 goals3%
BraAscoli
6%4 goals3%
BraAscoli

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time17%
BraAscoli
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BraAscoli
17%Scored in both halves33%
BraAscoli

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
BraAscoli
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
BraAscoli
60%BTTS - last 540%
BraAscoli

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
BraAscoli
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
BraAscoli
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
BraAscoli

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
BraAscoli
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
BraAscoli
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
BraAscoli

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ascoli is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Bra · 1.67 pts / match - Ascoli

Bra - half-time state
22% leading50% draw28% trailing
Ascoli - half-time state
39% leading50% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.67
BraAscoli
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.81
BraAscoli
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
BraAscoli
1Average goals (1st half)1.11
BraAscoli
58%Clean sheet before half-time75%
BraAscoli
58%No goal before half-time50%
BraAscoli

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per match (2nd half)1.97
BraAscoli
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
BraAscoli
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
BraAscoli
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.28
BraAscoli
42%Clean sheet after half-time72%
BraAscoli
47%No goal after half-time39%
BraAscoli

Bra - second-half results

19% W36% R44% P
42
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding77%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ascoli - second-half results

56% W31% R14% P
60
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
71
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding164%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bra - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.40.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3
Ascoli - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.40
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bra
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
5
4
16-30
8
11
31-45
5
13
46-60
6
6
61-75
10
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Ascoli
ScoredConceded
9
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
18
6
31-45
13
1
46-60
7
5
61-75
14
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+103%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bra

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Ascoli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
162%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

BraLigaAscoli
Average goals in match 2.532.26 2.39
Both teams scored 69%49% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%39% 47%
Clean sheets 17%31% 50%
Goal before half-time 64%63% 58%
Goal after half-time 75%72% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bra 0 - 0 - 1 Ascoli. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Ascoli
4 : 1
Bra

FAQ

What was the result of Bra vs Ascoli?

The Serie C Group B match finished Bra 1:3 Ascoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bra vs Ascoli?

Bra score 1.03 goals per game on average and Ascoli 1.75. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Bra's matches and 39% of Ascoli's.

What form are Bra and Ascoli in?

Over the last 5 games Bra have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ascoli 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bra vs Ascoli?

The statistical background for Bra vs Ascoli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.