Italy - Serie C Group BData current as of 23 July 2026

Bra vs Forlì: match statistics

Bra crest
Bra
2 : 1half-time 1:1
Forlì crest
Forlì

Bra vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bra play Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Bra: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Forlì: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bra scores 1.03 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Forlì scores 1.14 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bra 69%, Forlì 53%. Over 2.5: Bra 53%, Forlì 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Forlì has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.01. Bra: 8.3 shots per match, Forlì: 11.8.

Match halves

Bra: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.58. Forlì: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Bra: 76-90+ (10 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

I predict a home win (1). Bra has a better defensive profile and efficiency at home: the hosts concede 1.38 goals per home match with 25% clean sheets, while Forlì concedes 1.81 on the road with only 13% clean sheets. In attack Bra averages 1.19 goals at home with xG 1.11 and a conversion rate of 13%, whereas Forlì records 1.00 goals away with xG 1.42 and a weaker conversion of 9%, indicating underperformance in finishing. Forlì does generate more chance volume (10.75 shots and 3.69 on target away vs 9.38 and 3.19 for the hosts) and posts 53% possession, but their high away loss rate (63% defeats) and 44% of matches without scoring undermine their prospects. Neither side has won in the last 5 matches (Bra 0 wins, Forlì 0) and both have low PPG in that period (0.4 vs 0.6), so I expect a tight game with a slight advantage to the home side.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
BraForlì
5Shots11
BraForlì
4Shots on target2
BraForlì
0.8xG1.27
BraForlì
3Corners7
BraForlì
26Dangerous attacks60
BraForlì
15Fouls19
BraForlì
2Cards1
BraForlì

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.03Goals scored / match1.14
BraForlì
1.5Goals conceded / match1.44
BraForlì
43%Average possession53%
BraForlì
2.61Shots on target / match4.11
BraForlì

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.31Shots per match11.81
BraForlì
2.61Shots on target4.11
BraForlì
12.4%Shot conversion9.6%
BraForlì
43%Possession53%
BraForlì
1.01xG for1.53
BraForlì
1.66xG against1.36
BraForlì

Shooting quality

Bra: Counter-attackingForlì: Balanced
BraForlì
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bra is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Bra · 1 pts / match - Forlì

Bra
DWDLD
Season result split
17% W39% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-14-16
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-6
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.92Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Forlì
DLLWD
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-11
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forlì is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.03 goals / match - Bra · 1.14 goals / match - Forlì

Bra scoring profile: very strong

Bra scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

Forlì scoring profile: very strong

Forlì scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Bra keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).

37Goals scored (season)41
BraForlì
54Goals conceded (season)52
BraForlì
2.53Average goals in match2.58
BraForlì
5Goals scored (last 5)3
BraForlì
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
BraForlì

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal69%
BraForlì
25%2 goals33%
BraForlì
0%3 goals8%
BraForlì
0%4 goals3%
BraForlì

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal78%
BraForlì
47%2 goals47%
BraForlì
14%3 goals17%
BraForlì
6%4 goals3%
BraForlì

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time11%
BraForlì
0%BTTS in both halves3%
BraForlì
17%Scored in both halves17%
BraForlì

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
BraForlì
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
BraForlì
60%BTTS - last 540%
BraForlì

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
BraForlì
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
BraForlì
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
BraForlì

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
BraForlì
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
BraForlì
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
BraForlì

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bra - half-time state
22% leading50% draw28% trailing
Forlì - half-time state
25% leading47% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.22
BraForlì
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.44
BraForlì
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
BraForlì
1Average goals (1st half)1.03
BraForlì
58%Clean sheet before half-time64%
BraForlì
58%No goal before half-time67%
BraForlì

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per match (2nd half)1.25
BraForlì
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
BraForlì
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
BraForlì
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.56
BraForlì
42%Clean sheet after half-time39%
BraForlì
47%No goal after half-time47%
BraForlì

Bra - second-half results

19% W36% R44% P
42
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding77%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forlì - second-half results

31% W33% R36% P
44
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bra - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.40.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3
Forlì - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bra
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
5
4
16-30
8
11
31-45
5
13
46-60
6
6
61-75
10
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Forlì
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
8
8
16-30
4
10
31-45
6
11
46-60
9
9
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.55
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bra

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Forlì

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

BraLigaForlì
Average goals in match 2.532.26 2.58
Both teams scored 69%49% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%39% 44%
Clean sheets 17%31% 22%
Goal before half-time 64%63% 58%
Goal after half-time 75%72% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bra 0 - 1 - 0 Forlì. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Bra vs Forlì?

The Serie C Group B match finished Bra 2:1 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bra vs Forlì?

Bra score 1.03 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.14. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Bra's matches and 53% of Forlì's.

What form are Bra and Forlì in?

Over the last 5 games Bra have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Forlì 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bra vs Forlì?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.