Bra vs Gubbio: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw. Bra displays solid home form with a 33% win rate and only 25% losses at home, posting a positive goal difference (+2) and a good average of 1.33 goals per match. Gubbio, on the other hand, stands out for defensive solidity away, conceding on average only 0.73 goals and keeping clean sheets in 36% of their matches. The visitors' recent form is better (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG for the hosts), with two victories in their last five matches. Bra has a tendency to draw (42% draws at home), which, combined with Gubbio's defensive approach and their high draw percentage (36%), suggests the match could end in a share of the points. The xG values of both teams are similar, further confirming the evenly matched strength of the rivals.
Bra vs Gubbio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bra played Gubbio in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Bra: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Gubbio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bra scores 1.09 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Gubbio scores 0.86 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bra 68%, Gubbio 38%. Over 2.5: Bra 45%, Gubbio 10%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Gubbio has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.01. Bra: 8.2 shots per match, Gubbio: 9.5.
Match halves
Bra: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64. Gubbio: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Bra: 76-90+ (6 goals). Gubbio: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw. Bra displays solid home form with a 33% win rate and only 25% losses at home, posting a positive goal difference (+2) and a good average of 1.33 goals per match. Gubbio, on the other hand, stands out for defensive solidity away, conceding on average only 0.73 goals and keeping clean sheets in 36% of their matches. The visitors' recent form is better (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG for the hosts), with two victories in their last five matches. Bra has a tendency to draw (42% draws at home), which, combined with Gubbio's defensive approach and their high draw percentage (36%), suggests the match could end in a share of the points. The xG values of both teams are similar, further confirming the evenly matched strength of the rivals.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bra | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gubbio is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Bra · 1.6 pts / match - Gubbio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bra is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Bra · 0.86 goals / match - Gubbio
Gubbio is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Bra · 0.81 goals / match - Gubbio
Bra scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Gubbio keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
Gubbio scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Bra keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bra
Over / Under - Gubbio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bra is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Bra · 1.14 pts / match - Gubbio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gubbio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bra
Gubbio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Bra | Liga | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.55 | 2.25 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 37% | ▼ 10% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 31% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 61% | • 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bra 0 - 0 - 1 Gubbio. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bra vs Gubbio?
The Serie C Group B match finished Bra 1:0 Gubbio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bra vs Gubbio?
Bra score 1.09 goals per game on average and Gubbio 0.86. The Serie C Group B average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Bra's matches and 38% of Gubbio's.
What form are Bra and Gubbio in?
Over the last 5 games Bra have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Gubbio 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bra vs Gubbio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bra vs Gubbio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.