Brackley Town vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Brackley Town played Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match was played on 26 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Brackley Town: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Brackley Town scores 0.68 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.78 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.81 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Brackley Town 36%, Forest Green Rovers 61%. Over 2.5: Brackley Town 27%, Forest Green Rovers 48%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 2.05 vs 1.29. Brackley Town: 9.6 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 16.9.

Match halves

Brackley Town: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.45. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.91.

Goals by minute

Brackley Town: 76-90+ (7 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

39Possession (%)61
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
11Shots17
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
5Shots on target7
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
1.35xG1.98
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
3Corners3
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
42Dangerous attacks59
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
8Fouls7
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
5Cards2
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0.68Goals scored / match1.78
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
1.32Goals conceded / match0.91
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
44%Average possession54%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
3.41Shots on target / match6.43
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.55Shots per match16.87
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
3.41Shots on target6.43
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
7.1%Shot conversion10.6%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
44%Possession54%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
1.29xG for2.05
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
1.47xG against1.06
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

Shooting quality

Brackley Town: BalancedForest Green Rovers: Attacking
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
Accuracy (shots on target)36%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Brackley Town
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
23% W23% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-12
0.91 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-5
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Forest Green Rovers
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
61% W30% R9% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-7-2
2.13 pts / match · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-4-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.39Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forest Green Rovers is 162% better for: goals scored per match.

0.68 goals / match - Brackley Town · 1.78 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers

Forest Green Rovers is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - Brackley Town · 0.91 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers

Brackley Town scoring profile: mixed

Brackley Town scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

Forest Green Rovers scoring profile: very strong

Forest Green Rovers scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Brackley Town keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).

15Goals scored (season)41
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
29Goals conceded (season)21
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
2Average goals in match2.7
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
3Goals scored (last 5)9
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
11Goals conceded (last 5)4
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal87%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
14%2 goals61%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0%3 goals22%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0%4 goals9%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal65%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
50%2 goals17%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
9%3 goals4%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0%4 goals4%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
Forest Green Rovers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 23 matches
54%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time26%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0%BTTS in both halves9%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
5%Scored in both halves43%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
40%BTTS - last 580%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
5%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forest Green Rovers is 92% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.86 pts / match - Brackley Town · 1.65 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers

Brackley Town - half-time state
14% leading45% draw41% trailing
Forest Green Rovers - half-time state
43% leading35% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per match (1st half)1.65
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0.23Goals scored (1st half)0.87
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0.73Average goals (1st half)1.35
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
55%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
82%No goal before half-time39%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

After half-time (2nd half)

0.91Points per match (2nd half)1.96
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0.45Goals scored (2nd half)0.91
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
32%Clean sheet after half-time65%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
59%No goal after half-time30%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

Brackley Town - second-half results

18% W36% R45% P
19
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding164%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forest Green Rovers - second-half results

57% W26% R17% P
38
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Brackley Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet0%0%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Forest Green Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.80
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Brackley Town
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
5
31-45
2
5
46-60
1
4
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Forest Green Rovers
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
9
2
16-30
7
5
31-45
8
0
46-60
6
6
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Brackley Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.61
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
44%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.91
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
47% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
47%

Forest Green Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.99
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Brackley TownLigaForest Green Rovers
Average goals in match 2.002.81 2.70
Both teams scored 36%54% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 27%53% 48%
Clean sheets 27%26% 35%
Goal before half-time 59%70% 78%
Goal after half-time 82%81% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.81
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Brackley TownSubstitutionOn: Tyler LyttleOff: Kyle Morrison
  2. Brackley TownGoalMichael NottinghamAssist: Daniel James Newton
  3. Brackley TownYellow cardShane William Byrne
  4. Forest Green RoversYellow cardTom Knowles
  5. Forest Green RoversYellow cardTre Pemberton
  6. Brackley TownYellow cardZak Brown
  7. Forest Green RoversSubstitutionOn: Max RobsonOff: Kyle McAllister
  8. Forest Green RoversSubstitutionOn: Yahya BambaOff: Nicholas George Haughton
  9. Forest Green RoversSubstitutionOn: Christian DoidgeOff: Tom Knowles
  10. Brackley TownSubstitutionOn: Morgan RobertsOff: Ben Wodskou
  11. Brackley TownYellow cardCameron Gregory
  12. Brackley TownYellow cardByron Pendleton
  13. Brackley TownSubstitutionOn: Jack PriceOff: Matt Lowe
  14. Brackley TownYellow cardDaniel James Newton

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Brackley Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

The National League match finished Brackley Town 1:0 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Brackley Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

Brackley Town score 0.68 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.78. The National League average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Brackley Town's matches and 61% of Forest Green Rovers's.

What form are Brackley Town and Forest Green Rovers in?

Over the last 5 games Brackley Town have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brackley Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

The statistical background for Brackley Town vs Forest Green Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.