Brackley Town vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Brackley Town play Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match date is 26 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Brackley Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Brackley Town scores 0.87 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.74 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Brackley Town 50%, Forest Green Rovers 64%. Over 2.5: Brackley Town 43%, Forest Green Rovers 51%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.29. Brackley Town: 10.1 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 16.2.

Match halves

Brackley Town: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.52. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.02.

Goals by minute

Brackley Town: 76-90+ (12 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

39Possession (%)61
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
11Shots17
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
5Shots on target7
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
1.35xG1.98
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
3Corners3
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
42Dangerous attacks59
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
8Fouls7
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
5Cards2
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0.87Goals scored / match1.74
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
1.63Goals conceded / match1.13
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
41%Average possession54%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
3.52Shots on target / match5.94
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.07Shots per match16.19
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
3.52Shots on target5.94
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
8.6%Shot conversion10.8%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
41%Possession54%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
1.29xG for1.95
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
1.59xG against1.19
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

Shooting quality

Brackley Town: BalancedForest Green Rovers: Attacking
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
Accuracy (shots on target)35%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Forest Green Rovers is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Brackley Town · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers

Brackley Town
LDLWL
Season result split
22% W26% R52% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-12-24
0.91 pts / match · goal difference -35
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-7-9
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Forest Green Rovers
DWLWL
Season result split
49% W26% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-12-12
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-7-9
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forest Green Rovers is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

0.87 goals / match - Brackley Town · 1.74 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers

Forest Green Rovers is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.63 goals / match - Brackley Town · 1.13 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers

Brackley Town scoring profile: strong

Brackley Town scores in 61% of matches (28 of 46 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 47 matches).

Forest Green Rovers scoring profile: very strong

Forest Green Rovers scores in 85% of matches (40 of 47 matches), while Brackley Town keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).

40Goals scored (season)82
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
75Goals conceded (season)53
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
2.5Average goals in match2.87
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
3Goals scored (last 5)10
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal85%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
22%2 goals53%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
4%3 goals21%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0%4 goals13%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal74%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
48%2 goals28%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
22%3 goals9%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
9%4 goals2%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
Forest Green Rovers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.30 of 47 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time23%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
4%BTTS in both halves6%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
11%Scored in both halves38%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
40%BTTS - last 560%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forest Green Rovers is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.98 pts / match - Brackley Town · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers

Brackley Town - half-time state
17% leading46% draw37% trailing
Forest Green Rovers - half-time state
36% leading32% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.98Points per match (1st half)1.4
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.72
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0.93Average goals (1st half)1.4
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
52%Clean sheet before half-time51%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
72%No goal before half-time45%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

After half-time (2nd half)

0.76Points per match (2nd half)1.87
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
0.52Goals scored (2nd half)1.02
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
1.04Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.47
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
28%Clean sheet after half-time62%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers
57%No goal after half-time32%
Brackley TownForest Green Rovers

Brackley Town - second-half results

11% W43% R46% P
45
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-24
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.98
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forest Green Rovers - second-half results

55% W21% R23% P
66
Half-time points
34
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
88
Second-half points
+27
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Brackley Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Forest Green Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Brackley Town
ScoredConceded
3
10
0-15
6
6
16-30
7
11
31-45
6
9
46-60
6
14
61-75
12
25
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (25). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.

Forest Green Rovers
ScoredConceded
9
11
0-15
13
8
16-30
12
13
31-45
16
3
46-60
16
10
61-75
16
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+49%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Brackley Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Forest Green Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.76
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Brackley TownLigaForest Green Rovers
Average goals in match 2.502.92 2.87
Both teams scored 50%56% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%57% 51%
Clean sheets 17%24% 26%
Goal before half-time 63%71% 81%
Goal after half-time 80%80% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Brackley Town 0 - 0 - 1 Forest Green Rovers. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Brackley Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

The National League match finished Brackley Town 1:0 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Brackley Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

Brackley Town score 0.87 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.74. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Brackley Town's matches and 64% of Forest Green Rovers's.

What form are Brackley Town and Forest Green Rovers in?

Over the last 5 games Brackley Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brackley Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

The statistical background for Brackley Town vs Forest Green Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.