Brackley Town vs Southend United: match statistics
Southend United clearly holds the advantage in key offensive statistics, scoring an average of 1.44 goals per away match with only 6% of matches failing to score, while Brackley Town averages only 0.87 goals at home and fails to score in 33% of home fixtures. The visitors are 8th in the table with a +4 away goal difference, whereas the hosts are in 14th place with a negative -2 goal difference at home. Southend United boasts a superior shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%), more shots on target per match (4.75 vs 3.8), and a higher average xG (1.57 vs 1.25), confirming their qualitative edge. The form of both teams is similar over the last five matches (1.4 points per game each), however, Southend has won the last two encounters, which could provide a psychological advantage. Considering all these factors, I anticipate an away win, although Southend's weaker away form (38% wins) and Brackley's decent home record (40% wins) leave room for a draw.
Brackley Town vs Southend United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brackley Town played Southend United in National League (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Brackley Town: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Southend United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brackley Town scores 0.90 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Southend United scores 1.69 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brackley Town 47%, Southend United 52%. Over 2.5: Brackley Town 33%, Southend United 52%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Southend United has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.32. Brackley Town: 9.8 shots per match, Southend United: 15.5.
Match halves
Brackley Town: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.50. Southend United: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Brackley Town: 76-90+ (8 goals). Southend United: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Southend United clearly holds the advantage in key offensive statistics, scoring an average of 1.44 goals per away match with only 6% of matches failing to score, while Brackley Town averages only 0.87 goals at home and fails to score in 33% of home fixtures. The visitors are 8th in the table with a +4 away goal difference, whereas the hosts are in 14th place with a negative -2 goal difference at home. Southend United boasts a superior shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%), more shots on target per match (4.75 vs 3.8), and a higher average xG (1.57 vs 1.25), confirming their qualitative edge. The form of both teams is similar over the last five matches (1.4 points per game each), however, Southend has won the last two encounters, which could provide a psychological advantage. Considering all these factors, I anticipate an away win, although Southend's weaker away form (38% wins) and Brackley's decent home record (40% wins) leave room for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brackley Town | Southend United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southend United is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Brackley Town · 1.69 goals / match - Southend United
Southend United is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Brackley Town · 0.93 goals / match - Southend United
Brackley Town scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Southend United keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 matches).
Southend United scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while Brackley Town keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brackley Town
Over / Under - Southend United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Southend United is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Brackley Town · 1.72 pts / match - Southend United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brackley Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Southend United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brackley Town
Southend United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Brackley Town | Liga | Southend United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 24% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 72% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Brackley Town 0 - 0 - 1 Southend United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Brackley Town vs Southend United?
The National League match finished Brackley Town 0:3 Southend United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brackley Town vs Southend United?
Brackley Town score 0.90 goals per game on average and Southend United 1.69. The National League average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Brackley Town's matches and 52% of Southend United's.
What form are Brackley Town and Southend United in?
Over the last 5 games Brackley Town have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Southend United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brackley Town vs Southend United?
The statistical background for Brackley Town vs Southend United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.