Bradford City vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics
Bradford City vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bradford City play Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The match date is 14 May 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Bradford City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bolton Wanderers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bradford City scores 1.21 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.55 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bradford City 56%, Bolton Wanderers 61%. Over 2.5: Bradford City 50%, Bolton Wanderers 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.46. Bradford City: 12.6 shots per match, Bolton Wanderers: 16.5.
Match halves
Bradford City: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.04.
Goals by minute
Bradford City: 76-90+ (13 goals). Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (28 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I back Bradford City as favorites due to their clear defensive advantage and stability at home: Bradford concede on average 0.74 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 43% of home games, whereas Bolton concede 1.22 goals away and have only a 17% away clean sheet rate. On paper Bolton are stronger offensively — 71 goals this season vs Bradford’s 58 — and have better recent scoring form (12 goals in the last 5 matches vs Bradford’s 6) with higher points per game in that period (1.6 ppg vs 1.2 ppg). However, chance quality and efficiency favor the hosts: Bradford’s home xG is 1.65 vs Bolton’s 1.57 away xG, the home side’s shot conversion is 9% vs the visitors’ 7%, and Bradford fail to score at home in only 9% of matches while Bolton fail to score in 26% of their away games. Both teams have similar numbers of on-target shots (4.48 vs 4.3) and total attempts (14.7 vs 14.26), but higher conversion, lower average goals conceded for the hosts (a 0.48 goals per match difference) and a greater share of clean sheets point toward Bradford to prevail at home. Therefore I predict a home win; estimated probabilities: home 50%, draw 26%, away 24%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bradford City | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bolton Wanderers is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Bradford City · 2 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolton Wanderers is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Bradford City · 1.55 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Bradford City scores in 79% of matches (38 of 48 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 27% (13 of 49 matches).
Bolton Wanderers scores in 80% of matches (39 of 49 matches), while Bradford City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (14 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bradford City
Over / Under — Bolton Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bolton Wanderers is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Bradford City · 1.29 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bradford City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (28 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +20 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bradford City
Bolton Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Bradford City | Liga | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.62 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Bradford City 0 - 2 - 1 Bolton Wanderers. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bradford City vs Bolton Wanderers?
The EFL League One match finished Bradford City 0:1 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bradford City and Bolton Wanderers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bradford City won 0, Bolton Wanderers won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bradford City vs Bolton Wanderers?
Bradford City score 1.21 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.55. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Bradford City's matches and 61% of Bolton Wanderers's.
What form are Bradford City and Bolton Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Bradford City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bradford City vs Bolton Wanderers?
The statistical background for Bradford City vs Bolton Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.