Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams. Bragantino and Atlético Mineiro present identical form in the last five matches (1.8 points per match), with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws each. The hosts have a slight defensive advantage, conceding only 1 goal in the last 5 encounters, while the visitors conceded 5 goals. However, Atlético Mineiro shows greater offensive efficiency (8 goals in the last 5 matches compared to 7 for the hosts). Bragantino occupies a higher position in the table (5th place vs 10th), which may give a psychological advantage. Considering the similar form, the hosts' solid defense, and the visitors' offensive potential, the most probable scenario is a draw, although a slight advantage for the hosts stems from the home pitch factor and better league position.
Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bragantino played Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 4 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Bragantino: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 0-1-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bragantino scores 1.00 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 2.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bragantino 0%, Atlético Mineiro 100%. Over 2.5: Bragantino 0%, Atlético Mineiro 100%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
Bragantino has higher xG: 3.08 vs 1.30. Bragantino: 30.0 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 14.0.
Match halves
Bragantino: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Bragantino: 76-90+ (1 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams. Bragantino and Atlético Mineiro present identical form in the last five matches (1.8 points per match), with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws each. The hosts have a slight defensive advantage, conceding only 1 goal in the last 5 encounters, while the visitors conceded 5 goals. However, Atlético Mineiro shows greater offensive efficiency (8 goals in the last 5 matches compared to 7 for the hosts). Bragantino occupies a higher position in the table (5th place vs 10th), which may give a psychological advantage. Considering the similar form, the hosts' solid defense, and the visitors' offensive potential, the most probable scenario is a draw, although a slight advantage for the hosts stems from the home pitch factor and better league position.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bragantino | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 14% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.10 | 1.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bragantino is 200% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Bragantino · 1 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Mineiro is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Bragantino · 2 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Bragantino scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bragantino
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bragantino - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bragantino
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bragantino | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.00 | 3.00 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 60% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 50% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bragantino 1 - 0 - 1 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Bragantino 1:0 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bragantino and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bragantino won 1, Atlético Mineiro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro?
Bragantino score 1.00 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 2.00. The Serie A average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Bragantino's matches and 100% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Bragantino and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Bragantino have a 1-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 0-1-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.