Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams. Bragantino and Atlético Mineiro present identical form in the last five matches (1.8 points per match), with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws each. The hosts have a slight defensive advantage, conceding only 1 goal in the last 5 encounters, while the visitors conceded 5 goals. However, Atlético Mineiro shows greater offensive efficiency (8 goals in the last 5 matches compared to 7 for the hosts). Bragantino occupies a higher position in the table (5th place vs 10th), which may give a psychological advantage. Considering the similar form, the hosts' solid defense, and the visitors' offensive potential, the most probable scenario is a draw, although a slight advantage for the hosts stems from the home pitch factor and better league position.
Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bragantino play Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 4 February 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Bragantino: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bragantino scores 1.37 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.21 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bragantino 47%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. Over 2.5: Bragantino 42%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Bragantino has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.45. Bragantino: 15.8 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 13.6.
Match halves
Bragantino: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.58. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Bragantino: 31-45+ (9 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams. Bragantino and Atlético Mineiro present identical form in the last five matches (1.8 points per match), with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws each. The hosts have a slight defensive advantage, conceding only 1 goal in the last 5 encounters, while the visitors conceded 5 goals. However, Atlético Mineiro shows greater offensive efficiency (8 goals in the last 5 matches compared to 7 for the hosts). Bragantino occupies a higher position in the table (5th place vs 10th), which may give a psychological advantage. Considering the similar form, the hosts' solid defense, and the visitors' offensive potential, the most probable scenario is a draw, although a slight advantage for the hosts stems from the home pitch factor and better league position.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bragantino | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bragantino is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Bragantino · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bragantino is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Bragantino · 1.21 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Bragantino is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Bragantino · 1.26 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Bragantino scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bragantino
Over / Under — Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bragantino is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Bragantino · 1.47 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bragantino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bragantino
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bragantino | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bragantino 1 - 0 - 1 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Bragantino 1:0 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bragantino and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bragantino won 1, Atlético Mineiro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro?
Bragantino score 1.37 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.21. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Bragantino's matches and 42% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Bragantino and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Bragantino have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.