Bragantino vs Botafogo: match statistics
Bragantino clearly outperforms Botafogo in the context of the visitors' away matches, as they have not won any of their three away games this season (0% Win%). Botafogo concedes an average of 2.67 goals per away match while scoring only 1.33, resulting in a negative goal difference of -4. The hosts, despite average form (33% win rate at home), have a balanced goal difference of 0 and have not lost all their home matches. xG statistics also favor Bragantino (1.33 vs 0.83 for Botafogo away), suggesting better quality of chances created. Considering Botafogo's disastrous run of three consecutive away defeats and the hosts' higher scoring efficiency, a Bragantino victory is predicted, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to both teams' recent poor form.
Bragantino vs Botafogo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bragantino played Botafogo in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Bragantino: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Botafogo: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bragantino scores 0.71 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Botafogo scores 1.60 and concedes 2.20. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bragantino 43%, Botafogo 40%. Over 2.5: Bragantino 14%, Botafogo 80%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Bragantino has higher xG: 1.66 vs 0.88. Bragantino: 16.1 shots per match, Botafogo: 7.4.
Match halves
Bragantino: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.29. Botafogo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Bragantino: 31-45+ (3 goals). Botafogo: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bragantino clearly outperforms Botafogo in the context of the visitors' away matches, as they have not won any of their three away games this season (0% Win%). Botafogo concedes an average of 2.67 goals per away match while scoring only 1.33, resulting in a negative goal difference of -4. The hosts, despite average form (33% win rate at home), have a balanced goal difference of 0 and have not lost all their home matches. xG statistics also favor Bragantino (1.33 vs 0.83 for Botafogo away), suggesting better quality of chances created. Considering Botafogo's disastrous run of three consecutive away defeats and the hosts' higher scoring efficiency, a Bragantino victory is predicted, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to both teams' recent poor form.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bragantino | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.14 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Botafogo is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Bragantino · 0.6 pts / match - Botafogo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Bragantino · 1.6 goals / match - Botafogo
Bragantino is 93% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Bragantino · 2.2 goals / match - Botafogo
Bragantino scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Botafogo scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bragantino
Over / Under - Botafogo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bragantino is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Bragantino · 1 pts / match - Botafogo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bragantino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bragantino
Botafogo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bragantino | Liga | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.86 | 2.70 | ▲ 3.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 59% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 47% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bragantino 1 - 0 - 1 Botafogo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bragantino vs Botafogo?
The Serie A match finished Bragantino 1:2 Botafogo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bragantino and Botafogo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bragantino won 1, Botafogo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bragantino vs Botafogo?
Bragantino score 0.71 goals per game on average and Botafogo 1.60. The Serie A average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Bragantino's matches and 40% of Botafogo's.
What form are Bragantino and Botafogo in?
Over the last 5 games Bragantino have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Botafogo 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bragantino vs Botafogo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.