Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: match statistics
Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bragantino played Cruzeiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 13 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Bragantino: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Cruzeiro: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bragantino scores 1.17 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Cruzeiro scores 1.52 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bragantino 52%, Cruzeiro 69%. Over 2.5: Bragantino 38%, Cruzeiro 66%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Bragantino has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.62. Bragantino: 16.9 shots per match, Cruzeiro: 14.8.
Match halves
Bragantino: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.55. Cruzeiro: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Bragantino: 31-45+ (10 goals). Cruzeiro: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bragantino have a strong case for a home win: they create chances worth an average xG of 1.99 per match, while Cruzeiro allow opponents an xG of 1.78 away from home. The hosts concede an average of 1.07 goals at home, compared with 1.71 for the visitors on the road, strengthening Bragantino’s edge despite their lower league position — 10th versus 6th. However, the hosts’ recent form is a concern: they have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, scoring 5 goals, while Cruzeiro have won twice and scored 9. The visitors are not fully reliable defensively either, having conceded 9 goals across those 5 games, and they keep a clean sheet in just 14% of their away matches. Bragantino’s superior chance quality and stronger home defensive record narrowly outweigh their recent poor form.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams scored in 71% of their season matches, above the league average of 60%. Over their last 5 matches, BTTS landed in 80% of Bragantino’s games and 100% of Cruzeiro’s, although this is a small sample. Bragantino average 1.71 goals scored, while Cruzeiro concede 1.71; additionally, the hosts’ xG is 1.72, compared with the 1.78 xG conceded by the visitors. Cruzeiro score an average of 1.29 goals, while Bragantino concede 1.14, and the hosts have conceded an average of 1.6 goals over their last 5 matches. The prospect of both sides finding the net is further supported by the fact that each team failed to score in only 14% of its matches, making BTTS - Yes the stronger pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 86% of matches involving the two teams, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. Bragantino average 1.71 goals scored, while Cruzeiro concede 1.71; in addition, the hosts’ xG is 1.72, compared with 1.78 xG conceded by the visitors. Cruzeiro also have a chance to score: they average 1.29 goals, and Bragantino have kept a clean sheet in only 21% of matches. Although Over 2.5 has landed frequently — in 64% of the hosts’ matches and 71% of the visitors’ — the two-goal threshold is much more strongly supported by the data. The forecast of 3.20 total goals therefore favors Over 1.5, without requiring at least three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is that Bragantino take the lead at the break and hold on to it until the final whistle. The hosts average 0.71 goals in the first half, while Cruzeiro concede 0.86 and go into half-time trailing in 43% of their matches. Across the season, Bragantino average 1.71 goals per match, exactly matching Cruzeiro’s average conceded, while their xG stands at 1.72 compared with the 1.78 xG allowed by the visitors. After the break, the hosts average 1.00 goal, while Cruzeiro concede 0.86, supporting the possibility that Bragantino will preserve their advantage. However, this is not a strong pick: Bragantino have won none of their last five matches, and Cruzeiro averaged 1.40 goals after half-time over that period.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bragantino | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cruzeiro is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Bragantino · 1.8 pts / match - Cruzeiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cruzeiro is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Bragantino · 1.52 goals / match - Cruzeiro
Bragantino is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Bragantino · 1.38 goals / match - Cruzeiro
Bragantino scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Cruzeiro scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bragantino
Over / Under - Cruzeiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bragantino is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Bragantino · 1.21 pts / match - Cruzeiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bragantino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cruzeiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bragantino
Cruzeiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bragantino | Liga | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.66 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 60% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- CruzeiroSubstitutionOn: Bruno Rafael Rodrigues do NascimentoOff: Felipe de Morais Barbosa Penna dos Santos
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Bragantino 1 - 0 - 2 Cruzeiro. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
The Serie A match finished Bragantino 4:2 Cruzeiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bragantino and Cruzeiro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bragantino won 1, Cruzeiro won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
Bragantino score 1.17 goals per game on average and Cruzeiro 1.52. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Bragantino's matches and 69% of Cruzeiro's.
What form are Bragantino and Cruzeiro in?
Over the last 5 games Bragantino have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Cruzeiro 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.